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Eredivisie
Referee: Bjorn Kuipers
VVV Venlo
S S
0–2
Full-time
Ajax
T S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

VVV Venlo Ajax
Last 6 — all competitions · 2/6 matches
Win Ø 84%
100%
67%
Points per game
3,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 92%
100%
83%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,0
3,7
Scored
2,5
2,7
Conceded
0,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
+2,0
+1,7
This season — Eredivisie · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 75%
100%
50%
Points per game
3,0
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 75%
50%
100%
Average goals
3,0
3,5
Scored
2,5
2,0
Conceded
0,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
+2,0
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

32% Possession 68%
11 Shots 22
3 Shots on target 7
5 Blocked shots 7
6 Goalkeeper saves 3
3 Corners 8
2 Offside 1
7 Free kicks against 7
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match VVV Venlo 6. · Ajax 11. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Feyenoord 3 3 0 0 +7 9
2 Zwolle 3 2 1 0 +4 7
3 Utrecht 2 2 0 0 +5 6
4 Vitesse 3 2 0 1 +4 6
5 PSV Eindhoven 2 2 0 0 +4 6
6 VVV Venlo 2 2 0 0 +4 6
7 AZ Alkmaar 3 2 0 1 +2 6
8 Heerenveen 3 1 2 0 +1 5
9 Heracles 3 1 2 0 +1 5
10 Excelsior 3 1 1 1 +0 4
11 Ajax 2 1 0 1 +1 3
12 Sparta Rotterdam 3 0 2 1 -3 2
13 Groningen 2 0 1 1 -2 1
14 NAC Breda 3 0 1 2 -6 1
15 Roda 2 0 0 2 -4 0
16 Twente 3 0 0 3 -4 0
17 Den Haag 3 0 0 3 -6 0
18 Willem II 3 0 0 3 -8 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

VVV Venlo Ajax
17′
🟨 Matthijs De Ligt
Ralf Seuntjens 🟨
45′
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 K. Huntelaar
↦ M. Dijks
46′
🔁 David Neres
↦ V. Černý
55′
⚽ D. van de Beek 0–1
K. Huntelaar
T. Dekker 🔁
↦ L. Labylle
63′
Clint Leemans 🟨
64′
T. Hunte 🔁
↦ T. Tissoudali
70′
70′
⚽ David Neres 0–2
D. van de Beek
80′
🔁 M. Wöber
↦ F. de Jong
E. Amenyido 🔁
↦ C. Leemans
82′
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

VVV Venlo

4-2-3-1
1 L. Unnerstall G
3 J. Promes D
5 L. Labylle D
13 N. Röseler D
2 M. Rutten D
6 D. Post M
8 C. Leemans M
9 R. Seuntjens M
11 L. Thy F
14 T. Tissoudali F
7 V. van Crooij F
Bench (9)
17 T. Dekker
19 T. Hunte
26 E. Amenyido
24 L. Bezzat
16 D. van Crooij
30 S. Custers
22 M. Peeters
20 D. van Bruggen
21 T. Antonis

Coach: M. Steijn

Ajax

4-3-3
1 A. Onana G
26 N. Viergever D
3 J. Veltman D
35 M. Dijks D
4 M. de Ligt D
10 H. Ziyech M
6 D. van de Beek M
21 F. de Jong M
11 A. Younes F
17 V. Černý F
25 K. Dolberg F
Bench (7)
9 K. Huntelaar
7 David Neres
5 M. Wöber
22 B. van Leer
28 L. Orejuela
15 C. Eiting
20 L. Schöne

Coach: M. Keizer

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Bjorn Kuipers · 97 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,5 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
16,2 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.