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Eredivisie

Referee: Allard Lindhout

Groningen

S T S T U

1–2

Full-time

Heracles

T T U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Groningen Heracles

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

1,2

0,3

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

2,2

2,5

Scored

0,8

0,3

Conceded

1,3

2,2

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-1,8

This season — Eredivisie · 3/4 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

1,3

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 29%

33%

25%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

1,7

2,5

Scored

0,7

0,5

Conceded

1,0

2,0

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-1,5

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

63% Possession 37%

12 Shots 10

2 Shots on target 4

5 Blocked shots 4

2 Goalkeeper saves 1

5 Corners 5

2 Offside 0

11 Free kicks against 8

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Groningen 11. · Heracles 17. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Willem II	4	3	0	1	+2	9
2	Vitesse	4	2	2	0	+5	8
3	Sparta Rotterdam	4	2	2	0	+4	8
4	Ajax	3	2	1	0	+8	7
5	AZ Alkmaar	3	2	1	0	+6	7
6	PSV Eindhoven	3	2	1	0	+4	7
7	Utrecht	4	2	1	1	+3	7
8	Twente	4	1	3	0	+2	6
9	Heerenveen	5	1	3	1	+2	6
10	VVV Venlo	4	2	0	2	-3	6
11	Groningen	3	1	1	1	-1	4
12	Zwolle	5	1	1	3	-5	4
13	Feyenoord	3	0	3	0	+0	3
14	Den Haag	4	1	0	3	-2	3
15	FC Emmen	5	1	0	4	-7	3
16	For Sittard	4	0	2	2	-5	2
17	Heracles	4	0	2	2	-6	2
18	Waalwijk	4	0	1	3	-7	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	AZ Alkmaar	2	1	1	0	+4	4
2	Vitesse	2	1	1	0	+3	4
3	Ajax	1	1	0	0	+5	3
4	Sparta Rotterdam	1	1	0	0	+3	3
5	PSV Eindhoven	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Utrecht	2	1	0	1	+1	3
7	Heerenveen	3	0	3	0	+0	3
8	VVV Venlo	2	1	0	1	-1	3
9	FC Emmen	3	1	0	2	-1	3
10	Willem II	2	1	0	1	-1	3
11	Twente	2	0	2	0	+0	2
12	Feyenoord	2	0	2	0	+0	2
13	For Sittard	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Zwolle	2	0	1	1	-2	1
15	Heracles	3	0	1	2	-6	1
16	Groningen	1	0	0	1	-2	0
17	Den Haag	2	0	0	2	-3	0
18	Waalwijk	2	0	0	2	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Willem II	2	2	0	0	+3	6
2	Sparta Rotterdam	3	1	2	0	+1	5
3	Ajax	2	1	1	0	+3	4
4	Utrecht	2	1	1	0	+2	4
5	Vitesse	2	1	1	0	+2	4
6	Twente	2	1	1	0	+2	4
7	PSV Eindhoven	2	1	1	0	+2	4
8	Groningen	2	1	1	0	+1	4
9	Heerenveen	2	1	0	1	+2	3
10	AZ Alkmaar	1	1	0	0	+2	3
11	Den Haag	2	1	0	1	+1	3
12	VVV Venlo	2	1	0	1	-2	3
13	Zwolle	3	1	0	2	-3	3
14	Feyenoord	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Heracles	1	0	1	0	+0	1
16	Waalwijk	2	0	1	1	-2	1
17	For Sittard	2	0	1	1	-4	1
18	FC Emmen	2	0	0	2	-6	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.