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Eredivisie

Referee: Siemen Mulder

AZ Alkmaar

S U U T T

2–1

Full-time

Heracles

S T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

AZ Alkmaar Heracles

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

33%

67%

Points per game

1,3

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

50%

83%

Both score Ø 75%

67%

83%

Average goals

2,7

3,7

Scored

1,3

2,0

Conceded

1,3

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+0,3

This season — Eredivisie · 31/29 matches

Win Ø 50%

48%

52%

Points per game

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 69%

68%

69%

Both score Ø 52%

52%

Average goals

3,1

3,6

Scored

1,9

1,8

Conceded

1,2

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,7

+0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

53% Possession 47%

16 Shots 7

7 Shots on target 4

4 Blocked shots 2

3 Goalkeeper saves 5

2 Corners 4

2 Offside 2

13 Free kicks against 11

3 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match AZ Alkmaar 4. · Heracles 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	31	25	2	4	+79	77
2	PSV Eindhoven	31	24	5	2	+68	77
3	Feyenoord	31	18	5	8	+29	59
4	AZ Alkmaar	31	15	7	9	+21	52
5	Heracles	29	15	3	11	+3	48
6	Willem II	31	13	5	13	-6	44
7	Vitesse	27	10	10	7	+10	40
8	Utrecht	27	11	7	9	+4	40
9	Groningen	29	11	6	12	+0	39
10	Heerenveen	31	9	10	12	-8	37
11	VVV Venlo	31	10	7	14	-16	37
12	Den Haag	31	9	9	13	-13	36
13	Zwolle	31	10	5	16	-12	35
14	For Sittard	31	9	7	15	-23	34
15	FC Emmen	32	8	8	16	-33	32
16	De Graafschap	32	8	5	19	-29	29
17	Excelsior	31	7	6	18	-34	27
18	NAC Breda	31	5	7	19	-40	22

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	16	15	1	0	+49	46
2	Feyenoord	16	14	0	2	+29	42
3	Ajax	15	13	2	0	+52	41
4	Heracles	15	11	0	4	+15	33
5	AZ Alkmaar	15	9	3	3	+18	30
6	Vitesse	14	7	6	1	+10	27
7	For Sittard	16	7	5	4	+7	26
8	Groningen	15	8	1	6	+6	25
9	VVV Venlo	16	7	3	6	+2	24
10	Utrecht	13	6	4	3	+9	22
11	De Graafschap	16	6	3	7	+0	21
12	Willem II	15	6	2	7	-3	20
13	Den Haag	15	5	4	6	-5	19
14	Excelsior	16	5	4	7	-11	19
15	Zwolle	15	5	3	7	+1	18
16	NAC Breda	15	4	5	6	-8	17
17	FC Emmen	16	4	5	7	-9	17
18	Heerenveen	15	3	6	6	-9	15

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	16	12	0	4	+27	36
2	PSV Eindhoven	15	9	4	2	+19	31
3	Willem II	16	7	3	6	-3	24
4	AZ Alkmaar	16	6	4	6	+3	22
5	Heerenveen	16	6	4	6	+1	22
6	Utrecht	14	5	3	6	-5	18
7	Feyenoord	15	4	5	6	+0	17
8	Den Haag	16	4	5	7	-8	17
9	Zwolle	16	5	2	9	-13	17
10	Heracles	14	4	3	7	-12	15
11	FC Emmen	16	4	3	9	-24	15
12	Groningen	14	3	5	6	-6	14
13	Vitesse	13	3	4	6	+0	13
14	VVV Venlo	15	3	4	8	-18	13
15	Excelsior	15	2	2	11	-23	8
16	De Graafschap	16	2	2	12	-29	8
17	For Sittard	15	2	2	11	-30	8
18	NAC Breda	16	1	2	13	-32	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.