← Match Finder
Ligue 1
Referee: J Pignard
Paris SG
S S S S S
2–0
Full-time
Lens
U S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Team trends

Paris SG Lens
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 84%
100%
67%
Points per game
3,0
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
3,8
2,8
Scored
3,2
2,0
Conceded
0,7
0,8
Goal diff per game
+2,5
+1,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Ligue 1 · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 84%
100%
67%
Points per game
3,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
3,7
2,7
Scored
2,7
1,7
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,7
+0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,07 xG 1,16
68% Possession 32%
14 Shots 11
6 Shots on target 3
5 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
4 Corners 3
10 Free kicks against 8
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Paris SG 2. · Lens 6.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Lille 4 3 1 0 +8 +4.7 10
2 Paris SG 3 3 0 0 +5 +3.3 9
3 Lyon 3 3 0 0 +5 +4.5 9
4 Monaco 4 3 0 1 +3 +0.6 9
5 Marseille 4 2 0 2 +5 +1.8 6
6 Lens 3 2 0 1 +2 +2.1 6
7 Strasbourg 3 2 0 1 +1 +1.3 6
8 Nice 4 2 0 2 +0 -0.3 6
9 Toulouse 4 2 0 2 -1 -1.7 6
10 Angers 3 1 1 1 +0 -1.8 4
11 Rennes 3 1 1 1 -3 -3.0 4
12 Le Havre 3 1 0 2 -1 +1.6 3
13 Nantes 4 1 0 3 -2 -3.8 3
14 Paris FC 3 1 0 2 -3 -0.4 3
15 Auxerre 4 1 0 3 -3 -0.9 3
16 Lorient 4 1 0 3 -7 -1.2 3
17 Brest 3 0 1 2 -4 -2.8 1
18 Metz 3 0 0 3 -5 -3.9 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Paris SG Lens
5′
🟨 Odsonne Édouard
1–0 B. Barcola
Vitinha
15′
18′
🟨 Florian Thauvin
I. Mbaye 🔁
↦ K. Kvaratskhelia
30′
Gonçalo Ramos 🟨
38′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 A. Sima
↦ M. Guilavogui
2–0 B. Barcola
Vitinha
51′
S. Mayulu 🔁
↦ Lee Kang-In
57′
66′
🔁 S. Abdulhamid
↦ R. Aguilar
66′
🔁 R. Fofana
↦ O. Edouard
N. Mendes 🔁
↦ L. Beraldo
71′
J. Neves 🔁
↦ W. Zaire-Emery
71′
F. Ruiz 🔁
↦ B. Barcola
71′
80′
🔁 A. Bermont
↦ M. Udol
80′
🔁 W. Said
↦ F. Thauvin
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Paris SG

4-3-3
30 L. Chevalier G
2 A. Hakimi D
6 I. Zabarnyi D
4 L. Beraldo D
21 L. Hernandez D
33 W. Zaire-Emery M
17 Vitinha M
19 Lee Kang-In M
7 K. Kvaratskhelia F
9 G. Ramos F
29 B. Barcola F
Bench (9)
39 M. Safonov
5 Marquinhos
43 N. Kamara
51 W. Pacho
25 N. Mendes
87 J. Neves
24 S. Mayulu
8 F. Ruiz
49 I. Mbaye

Coach: Enrique Luis

Lens

3-4-2-1
40 R. Risser G
24 J. Gradit D
6 S. Baidoo D
20 M. Sarr D
2 R. Aguilar M
8 M. Sangare M
28 A. Thomasson M
14 M. Udol M
10 F. Thauvin F
29 M. Guilavogui F
11 O. Edouard F
Bench (9)
1 R. Gurtner
23 S. Abdulhamid
25 I. Ganiou
5 A. Bulatovic
26 A. Bermont
7 F. Sotoca
19 A. Sima
22 W. Said
38 R. Fofana

Coach: Pierre Sage

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,31
U
5,75
B
8,06
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,35
U2,5 ✓
3,06
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

J Pignard · 145 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,29 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.