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Ligue 1

Referee: J Brisard

Lens

U S S T U

0–2

Full-time

Paris SG

S U U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lens Paris SG

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

50%

67%

Points per game

1,8

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,7

3,7

Scored

1,5

3,0

Conceded

1,2

0,7

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+2,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Ligue 1 · 17/17 matches

Win Ø 56%

41%

71%

Points per game

1,5

2,4

Over 2.5 Ø 56%

41%

71%

Both score Ø 47%

35%

59%

Average goals

2,2

3,3

Scored

1,2

2,5

Conceded

1,0

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+1,6

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

2,18 xG 1,83

34% Possession 66%

17 Shots 15

5 Shots on target 7

7 Blocked shots 5

5 Goalkeeper saves 5

5 Corners 6

1 Offside 2

10 Free kicks against 8

0 Yellow cards 1

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Lens 8. · Paris SG 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Paris SG	17	12	4	1	+28	+18.2	40
2	Nice	18	10	5	3	+8	+7.8	35
3	Brest	18	10	4	4	+12	+6.7	34
4	Monaco	18	10	3	5	+9	+5.8	33
5	Lille	18	8	7	3	+10	+8.7	31
6	Reims	18	9	2	7	+1	+3.5	29
7	Marseille	18	7	7	4	+7	+13.6	28
8	Lens	17	7	5	5	+4	+1.4	26
9	Strasbourg	18	6	6	6	-4	-2.8	24
10	Rennes	18	5	7	6	+3	+7.4	22
11	Le Havre	18	5	7	6	-1	-6.7	22
12	Montpellier	18	4	7	7	-4	+0.1	19
13	Nantes	18	5	3	10	-10	-7.7	18
14	Toulouse	18	3	8	7	-7	-10.4	17
15	Metz	18	4	4	10	-12	-12.6	16
16	Lyon	18	4	4	10	-13	-6.4	16
17	Clermont	18	3	5	10	-14	-13.5	14
18	Lorient	18	2	6	10	-17	-13.0	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Paris SG	9	7	1	1	+17	+10.2	22
2	Marseille	9	6	3	0	+12	+10.4	21
3	Nice	9	6	3	0	+9	+6.2	21
4	Lille	9	6	2	1	+10	+9.6	20
5	Brest	9	5	3	1	+10	+9.7	18
6	Monaco	9	6	0	3	+8	+4.3	18
7	Lens	8	5	2	1	+8	+6.0	17
8	Rennes	10	4	3	3	+6	+7.7	15
9	Strasbourg	9	4	3	2	+3	+2.1	15
10	Reims	8	5	0	3	+1	+4.5	15
11	Le Havre	9	4	2	3	+3	+3.6	14
12	Nantes	10	3	3	4	+0	-0.7	12
13	Montpellier	9	1	6	2	-1	+4.3	9
14	Lorient	9	2	3	4	-3	-4.6	9
15	Lyon	9	2	3	4	-5	+0.1	9
16	Toulouse	8	1	5	2	+1	-0.5	8
17	Metz	9	1	3	5	-3	-1.8	6
18	Clermont	9	1	2	6	-9	-5.5	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Paris SG	8	5	3	0	+11	+8.0	18
2	Brest	9	5	1	3	+2	-3.0	16
3	Monaco	9	4	3	2	+1	+1.5	15
4	Reims	10	4	2	4	+0	-1.0	14
5	Nice	9	4	2	3	-1	+1.6	14
6	Lille	9	2	5	2	+0	-0.9	11
7	Montpellier	9	3	1	5	-3	-4.2	10
8	Metz	9	3	1	5	-9	-10.8	10
9	Lens	9	2	3	4	-4	-4.6	9
10	Clermont	9	2	3	4	-5	-8.0	9
11	Strasbourg	9	2	3	4	-7	-4.9	9
12	Toulouse	10	2	3	5	-8	-10.0	9
13	Le Havre	9	1	5	3	-4	-10.3	8
14	Rennes	8	1	4	3	-3	-0.3	7
15	Marseille	9	1	4	4	-5	+3.2	7
16	Lyon	9	2	1	6	-8	-6.4	7
17	Nantes	8	2	0	6	-10	-7.0	6
18	Lorient	9	0	3	6	-14	-8.4	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.