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Ligue 1

Referee: M Leleu

Paris SG

S S S S S

1–0

Full-time

Angers

T S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Paris SG Angers

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 75%

100%

50%

Points per game

3,0

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

83%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

3,5

2,0

Scored

3,0

0,8

Conceded

0,5

1,2

Goal diff per game

+2,5

-0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Ligue 1 · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 100%

100%

Points per game

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 0%

Both score Ø 0%

Average goals

1,0

Scored

1,0

Conceded

0,0

Goal diff per game

+1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,85 xG 0,24

84% Possession 16%

21 Shots 3

4 Shots on target 0

4 Blocked shots 0

0 Goalkeeper saves 3

12 Corners 0

1 Offside 1

3 Free kicks against 9

0 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Paris SG 5. · Angers 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Monaco	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.2	3
2	Angers	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.0	3
3	Rennes	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.2	3
4	Toulouse	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.2	3
5	Paris SG	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.3	3
6	Strasbourg	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.3	3
7	Lyon	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.0	3
8	Auxerre	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.1	3
9	Brest	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.4	1
10	Lille	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.4	1
11	Paris FC	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.0	0
12	Marseille	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.2	0
13	Nice	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.2	0
14	Nantes	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.3	0
15	Metz	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.3	0
16	Lens	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.0	0
17	Lorient	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.1	0
18	Le Havre	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Monaco	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.2	3
2	Angers	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.0	3
3	Rennes	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.2	3
4	Auxerre	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.1	3
5	Brest	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.4	1
6	Nice	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.2	0
7	Nantes	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.3	0
8	Metz	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.3	0
9	Lens	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.0	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Toulouse	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.2	3
2	Paris SG	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.3	3
3	Strasbourg	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.3	3
4	Lyon	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.0	3
5	Lille	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.4	1
6	Paris FC	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.0	0
7	Marseille	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.2	0
8	Lorient	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.1	0
9	Le Havre	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.2	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.