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Allsvenskan

Referee: Adam Ladeback

Elfsborg

U T S T T

2–2

Full-time

Malmo FF

S S U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Elfsborg Malmo FF

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,2

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

83%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

67%

17%

Average goals

2,8

2,7

Scored

1,2

1,7

Conceded

1,7

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Allsvenskan · 22/22 matches

Win Ø 48%

50%

45%

Points per game

1,6

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 52%

59%

45%

Both score Ø 48%

50%

45%

Average goals

3,1

2,4

Scored

1,7

1,5

Conceded

1,5

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

45% Possession 55%

4 Shots 12

2 Shots on target 3

1 Blocked shots 4

1 Goalkeeper saves 0

3 Corners 3

2 Offside 1

12 Free kicks against 13

2 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Elfsborg 7. · Malmo FF 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Mjallby	23	17	5	1	+27	+2.2	56
2	Hammarby	23	14	4	5	+21	+14.6	46
3	AIK	22	11	7	4	+9	+6.5	40
4	Malmo FF	22	10	8	4	+16	+13.0	38
5	GAIS	22	10	8	4	+13	+11.3	38
6	Goteborg	22	12	2	8	+4	+1.6	38
7	Elfsborg	22	11	3	8	+5	-0.7	36
8	Djurgarden	23	9	8	6	+8	+6.4	35
9	Brommapojkarna	22	8	2	12	+0	-1.4	26
10	Hacken	22	7	5	10	-6	+4.7	26
11	Norrkoping	23	7	5	11	-10	-9.5	26
12	Sirius	22	6	5	11	-4	-2.1	23
13	Halmstad	23	6	4	13	-25	-12.9	22
14	Oster	23	5	6	12	-13	-11.6	21
15	Degerfors	23	4	4	15	-24	-5.0	16
16	Varnamo	23	2	6	15	-21	-16.9	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Hammarby	12	9	1	2	+16	+12.0	28
2	Mjallby	11	8	3	0	+13	+4.6	27
3	AIK	10	6	4	0	+11	+4.6	22
4	Elfsborg	11	6	2	3	+6	+0.4	20
5	Malmo FF	11	5	4	2	+8	+9.0	19
6	Goteborg	11	6	1	4	+5	+3.4	19
7	Djurgarden	12	4	6	2	+4	+5.5	18
8	GAIS	11	5	3	3	+4	+7.8	18
9	Halmstad	12	4	2	6	-11	-5.6	14
10	Norrkoping	12	4	1	7	-7	-1.3	13
11	Brommapojkarna	11	4	0	7	-2	+0.4	12
12	Sirius	10	3	2	5	-1	+1.0	11
13	Hacken	11	3	2	6	-7	+4.9	11
14	Varnamo	12	2	4	6	-8	-7.6	10
15	Oster	11	2	3	6	-6	-3.0	9
16	Degerfors	12	1	3	8	-14	-1.1	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Mjallby	12	9	2	1	+14	-2.4	29
2	GAIS	11	5	5	1	+9	+3.5	20
3	Malmo FF	11	5	4	2	+8	+3.9	19
4	Goteborg	11	6	1	4	-1	-1.8	19
5	Hammarby	11	5	3	3	+5	+2.6	18
6	AIK	12	5	3	4	-2	+1.9	18
7	Djurgarden	11	5	2	4	+4	+0.9	17
8	Elfsborg	11	5	1	5	-1	-1.2	16
9	Hacken	11	4	3	4	+1	-0.2	15
10	Brommapojkarna	11	4	2	5	+2	-1.8	14
11	Norrkoping	11	3	4	4	-3	-8.3	13
12	Sirius	12	3	3	6	-3	-3.1	12
13	Oster	12	3	3	6	-7	-8.6	12
14	Degerfors	11	3	1	7	-10	-3.9	10
15	Halmstad	11	2	2	7	-14	-7.3	8
16	Varnamo	11	0	2	9	-13	-9.3	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.