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Ligue 1

Referee: J Pignard

Lens

S U U T S

1–2

Full-time

Paris SG

S S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lens Paris SG

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

50%

83%

Points per game

1,8

2,7

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

33%

83%

Both score Ø 67%

50%

83%

Average goals

2,3

4,0

Scored

1,5

2,8

Conceded

0,8

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,7

+1,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Ligue 1 · 17/17 matches

Win Ø 59%

41%

76%

Points per game

1,6

2,5

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

29%

71%

Both score Ø 56%

41%

71%

Average goals

2,2

3,6

Scored

1,2

2,7

Conceded

0,9

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+1,8

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

0,72 xG 1,23

33% Possession 67%

10 Shots 9

5 Shots on target 7

5 Blocked shots 2

5 Goalkeeper saves 6

6 Corners 1

5 Offside 0

12 Free kicks against 8

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Lens 7. · Paris SG 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Paris SG	17	13	4	0	+31	+30.3	43
2	Marseille	17	11	3	3	+19	+3.1	36
3	Lille	18	8	8	2	+11	+5.7	32
4	Monaco	18	9	4	5	+9	+19.0	31
5	Nice	18	8	6	4	+11	+10.9	30
6	Lyon	17	8	4	5	+7	+6.3	28
7	Lens	17	7	6	4	+5	+7.6	27
8	Toulouse	17	7	3	7	+0	+7.7	24
9	Strasbourg	17	6	5	6	+1	-5.2	23
10	Auxerre	17	6	4	7	-2	-9.9	22
11	Brest	17	7	1	9	-4	-10.0	22
12	Reims	17	5	5	7	-2	-6.9	20
13	Angers	17	5	4	8	-8	-3.4	19
14	Rennes	17	5	2	10	-2	+0.7	17
15	Nantes	17	3	7	7	-7	-8.6	16
16	St Etienne	17	5	1	11	-21	-17.9	16
17	Le Havre	17	4	0	13	-23	-14.6	12
18	Montpellier	18	3	3	12	-25	-14.5	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Paris SG	9	8	1	0	+19	+17.3	25
2	Brest	9	6	1	2	+9	+1.0	19
3	Nice	8	5	3	0	+12	+8.0	18
4	Auxerre	9	5	3	1	+7	-0.3	18
5	Lille	9	5	3	1	+5	-0.3	18
6	Monaco	9	5	2	2	+4	+11.1	17
7	Rennes	9	5	1	3	+10	+5.6	16
8	Lyon	8	5	1	2	+5	+4.5	16
9	Strasbourg	8	4	3	1	+5	+0.6	15
10	St Etienne	8	5	0	3	+2	+1.7	15
11	Toulouse	9	4	2	3	+2	+5.4	14
12	Marseille	8	3	3	2	+2	+2.3	12
13	Montpellier	10	3	3	4	-8	-3.4	12
14	Lens	8	3	2	3	+0	+5.4	11
15	Nantes	8	2	3	3	-1	-0.0	9
16	Reims	9	2	3	4	-4	-4.0	9
17	Angers	8	2	1	5	-7	-4.8	7
18	Le Havre	9	2	0	7	-15	-8.6	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Marseille	9	8	0	1	+17	+0.8	24
2	Paris SG	8	5	3	0	+12	+13.0	18
3	Lens	9	4	4	1	+5	+2.2	16
4	Lille	9	3	5	1	+6	+6.0	14
5	Monaco	9	4	2	3	+5	+8.0	14
6	Lyon	9	3	3	3	+2	+1.8	12
7	Nice	10	3	3	4	-1	+2.9	12
8	Angers	9	3	3	3	-1	+1.4	12
9	Reims	8	3	2	3	+2	-2.9	11
10	Toulouse	8	3	1	4	-2	+2.3	10
11	Strasbourg	9	2	2	5	-4	-5.9	8
12	Nantes	9	1	4	4	-6	-8.6	7
13	Le Havre	8	2	0	6	-8	-6.0	6
14	Auxerre	8	1	1	6	-9	-9.6	4
15	Brest	8	1	0	7	-13	-10.9	3
16	Rennes	8	0	1	7	-12	-4.9	1
17	St Etienne	9	0	1	8	-23	-19.6	1
18	Montpellier	8	0	0	8	-17	-11.1	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.