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2. Bundesliga
Referee: Richard Hempel
0–3
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Greuther Furth Kaiserslautern
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,0
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
4,7
3,3
Scored
2,5
2,0
Conceded
2,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,7
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 63%
75%
50%
Both score Ø 63%
75%
50%
Average goals
5,3
2,3
Scored
2,5
1,3
Conceded
2,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,3
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

35% Possession 65%
8 Shots 14
3 Shots on target 6
0 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 5
2 Offside 2
9 Free kicks against 15
1 Yellow cards 6
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Greuther Furth 11. · Kaiserslautern 10.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Hannover 5 4 0 1 +3 +2.5 12
2 Karlsruhe 5 3 2 0 +4 +0.3 11
3 Bielefeld 5 3 1 1 +7 +1.7 10
4 Darmstadt 5 3 1 1 +3 +0.9 10
5 Elversberg 4 3 0 1 +2 -2.9 9
6 Schalke 04 5 3 0 2 +1 +0.8 9
7 Paderborn 5 2 2 1 +1 +2.8 8
8 Preußen Münster 4 2 1 1 +1 -2.5 7
9 Braunschweig 5 2 1 2 -1 -1.1 7
10 Kaiserslautern 4 2 0 2 +1 -0.2 6
11 Greuther Furth 4 2 0 2 -1 -0.2 6
12 Holstein Kiel 5 2 0 3 -1 +0.1 6
13 Hertha 5 1 2 2 +0 -1.9 5
14 Fortuna Dusseldorf 4 1 1 2 -5 -3.5 4
15 Dresden 4 1 0 3 -2 +1.8 3
16 Bochum 5 1 0 4 -4 +1.8 3
17 Magdeburg 5 1 0 4 -5 -0.5 3
18 Nurnberg 5 0 1 4 -4 +0.1 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Greuther Furth Kaiserslautern
Noah König 🟥
1′
6′
🟨 Paul Joly
23′
🟨 Faride Alidou
33′
N. Skytta 0–1
P. Joly
Mathias Olesen 🟨
38′
43′
🟨 Mika Haas
Half-time 0–1
46′
🔁 F. Kleinhansl
↦ M. Haas
46′
🔁 R. Tachie
↦ F. Alidou
48′
🟨 Maxwell Gyamfi
49′
🟨 Naatan Skyttä
53′
🟨 Fabian Kunze
58′
I. Prtajin 0–2
P. Joly
64′
I. Prtajin 0–3
F. Kleinhansl
L. Reich 🔁
↦ J. Dehm
70′
J. Consbruch 🔁
↦ A. Keller
70′
F. Higl 🔁
↦ N. Futkeu
70′
72′
🔁 M. Ritter
↦ N. Skytta
72′
🔁 L. Robinson
↦ P. Joly
J. Green 🔁
↦ M. John
73′
J. Cabrera 🔁
↦ F. Klaus
78′
82′
🔁 A. Afeez
↦ S. Sahin
Full-time 0–3

Line-ups

Greuther Furth

4-2-3-1
26 P. Boevink G
23 J. Dehm D
4 P. Ziereis D
17 N. Konig D
27 G. Itter D
8 M. Olesen M
24 M. John M
30 F. Klaus M
10 B. Hrgota M
16 A. Keller M
9 N. Futkeu F
Bench (9)
31 S. Jung
38 R. Marita
25 B. Bjarnason
2 L. Reich
37 J. Green
14 J. Consbruch
22 J. Cabrera
18 F. Higl
7 D. Srbeny

Coach: Thomas Kleine

Kaiserslautern

3-4-1-2
1 J. Krahl G
31 L. Sirch D
4 M. Gyamfi D
5 Kim Ji-Soo D
26 P. Joly M
6 F. Kunze M
8 S. Sahin M
22 M. Haas M
15 N. Skytta F
9 I. Prtajin F
48 F. Alidou F
Bench (9)
25 S. Simoni
3 F. Kleinhansl
33 J. Elvedi
7 M. Ritter
20 T. Raschl
23 A. Afeez
37 L. Robinson
27 D. Abiama
29 R. Tachie

Coach: Torsten Lieberknecht

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,35
U
3,57
B ✓
2,67
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,53
U2,5
2,35
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.