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Allsvenskan

Referee: Adi Aganovic

Oster

U S T T S

4–3

Full-time

Varnamo

U S S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Oster Varnamo

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

50%

83%

Both score Ø 75%

67%

83%

Average goals

3,2

4,0

Scored

1,7

1,8

Conceded

1,5

2,2

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Allsvenskan · 22/22 matches

Win Ø 14%

18%

Points per game

0,8

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 41%

27%

55%

Both score Ø 50%

36%

64%

Average goals

2,2

3,0

Scored

0,8

1,0

Conceded

1,4

2,0

Goal diff per game

-0,6

-0,9

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–2

2,61 xG 1,59

62% Possession 38%

17 Shots 17

9 Shots on target 5

5 Blocked shots 5

2 Goalkeeper saves 5

6 Corners 5

0 Offside 1

7 Free kicks against 7

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Oster 14. · Varnamo 16. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Mjallby	23	17	5	1	+27	+2.2	56
2	Hammarby	22	14	3	5	+21	+14.0	45
3	AIK	22	11	7	4	+9	+6.5	40
4	Malmo FF	22	10	8	4	+16	+13.0	38
5	GAIS	22	10	8	4	+13	+11.3	38
6	Goteborg	22	12	2	8	+4	+1.6	38
7	Elfsborg	22	11	3	8	+5	-0.7	36
8	Djurgarden	22	9	7	6	+8	+7.1	34
9	Brommapojkarna	22	8	2	12	+0	-1.4	26
10	Hacken	22	7	5	10	-6	+4.7	26
11	Norrkoping	23	7	5	11	-10	-9.5	26
12	Sirius	22	6	5	11	-4	-2.1	23
13	Halmstad	23	6	4	13	-25	-12.9	22
14	Oster	22	4	6	12	-14	-12.6	18
15	Degerfors	23	4	4	15	-24	-5.0	16
16	Varnamo	22	2	6	14	-20	-15.9	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Hammarby	12	9	1	2	+16	+12.0	28
2	Mjallby	11	8	3	0	+13	+4.6	27
3	AIK	10	6	4	0	+11	+4.6	22
4	Elfsborg	11	6	2	3	+6	+0.4	20
5	Malmo FF	11	5	4	2	+8	+9.0	19
6	Goteborg	11	6	1	4	+5	+3.4	19
7	GAIS	11	5	3	3	+4	+7.8	18
8	Djurgarden	11	4	5	2	+4	+6.1	17
9	Halmstad	12	4	2	6	-11	-5.6	14
10	Norrkoping	12	4	1	7	-7	-1.3	13
11	Brommapojkarna	11	4	0	7	-2	+0.4	12
12	Sirius	10	3	2	5	-1	+1.0	11
13	Hacken	11	3	2	6	-7	+4.9	11
14	Varnamo	12	2	4	6	-8	-7.6	10
15	Oster	10	1	3	6	-7	-4.0	6
16	Degerfors	12	1	3	8	-14	-1.1	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Mjallby	12	9	2	1	+14	-2.4	29
2	GAIS	11	5	5	1	+9	+3.5	20
3	Malmo FF	11	5	4	2	+8	+3.9	19
4	Goteborg	11	6	1	4	-1	-1.8	19
5	AIK	12	5	3	4	-2	+1.9	18
6	Hammarby	10	5	2	3	+5	+2.0	17
7	Djurgarden	11	5	2	4	+4	+0.9	17
8	Elfsborg	11	5	1	5	-1	-1.2	16
9	Hacken	11	4	3	4	+1	-0.2	15
10	Brommapojkarna	11	4	2	5	+2	-1.8	14
11	Norrkoping	11	3	4	4	-3	-8.3	13
12	Sirius	12	3	3	6	-3	-3.1	12
13	Oster	12	3	3	6	-7	-8.6	12
14	Degerfors	11	3	1	7	-10	-3.9	10
15	Halmstad	11	2	2	7	-14	-7.3	8
16	Varnamo	10	0	2	8	-12	-8.3	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.