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Ligue 1

Referee: B Dechepy

Nice

S S T U T

1–1

Full-time

Toulouse

S T S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nice Toulouse

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 83%

83%

Both score Ø 75%

83%

67%

Average goals

3,2

2,8

Scored

1,7

1,3

Conceded

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Ligue 1 · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 0%

Points per game

0,0

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

100%

Both score Ø 50%

100%

Average goals

3,0

0,0

Scored

1,0

0,0

Conceded

2,0

0,0

Goal diff per game

-1,0

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,28 xG 0,98

58% Possession 42%

10 Shots 15

4 Shots on target 3

2 Blocked shots 5

2 Goalkeeper saves 2

4 Corners 4

1 Offside 1

11 Free kicks against 21

4 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Nice 13. · Toulouse 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Paris SG	2	2	0	0	+9	+5.8	6
2	Lille	2	2	0	0	+4	+2.3	6
3	Monaco	2	2	0	0	+3	+3.7	6
4	Lens	2	2	0	0	+3	+3.0	6
5	Marseille	1	1	0	0	+4	+1.1	3
6	Rennes	1	1	0	0	+3	-0.0	3
7	Auxerre	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.2	3
8	Le Havre	2	1	0	1	-1	-1.4	3
9	Strasbourg	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.5	1
10	Toulouse	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.2	1
11	Nantes	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.2	1
12	Montpellier	2	0	1	1	-6	-2.7	1
13	Nice	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.2	0
14	Reims	1	0	0	1	-2	-2.0	0
15	St Etienne	2	0	0	2	-3	-2.8	0
16	Angers	2	0	0	2	-3	-1.1	0
17	Lyon	2	0	0	2	-5	-2.2	0
18	Brest	2	0	0	2	-6	-3.2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Paris SG	1	1	0	0	+6	+3.2	3
2	Rennes	1	1	0	0	+3	-0.0	3
3	Lille	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.3	3
4	Lens	1	1	0	0	+2	+2.1	3
5	Auxerre	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.2	3
6	Monaco	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.5	3
7	Montpellier	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.5	1
8	Toulouse	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.2	1
9	Angers	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.8	0
10	Lyon	1	0	0	1	-2	-2.2	0
11	Reims	1	0	0	1	-2	-2.0	0
12	St Etienne	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.3	0
13	Le Havre	1	0	0	1	-3	-2.7	0
14	Brest	1	0	0	1	-4	-1.1	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Marseille	1	1	0	0	+4	+1.1	3
2	Paris SG	1	1	0	0	+3	+2.7	3
3	Monaco	1	1	0	0	+2	+2.2	3
4	Lille	1	1	0	0	+2	+2.0	3
5	Le Havre	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.3	3
6	Lens	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.8	3
7	Strasbourg	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.5	1
8	Nantes	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.2	1
9	Nice	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.2	0
10	St Etienne	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.5	0
11	Angers	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.3	0
12	Brest	1	0	0	1	-2	-2.1	0
13	Lyon	1	0	0	1	-3	+0.0	0
14	Montpellier	1	0	0	1	-6	-3.2	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.