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Eredivisie

Referee: E van de Graaf

Heracles

T T U U T

1–1

Full-time

Willem II

U S T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Heracles Willem II

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

0,3

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 58%

33%

83%

Average goals

2,8

3,5

Scored

0,3

1,8

Conceded

2,5

1,7

Goal diff per game

-2,2

+0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Eredivisie · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

0,5

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,0

Scored

0,5

1,5

Conceded

1,5

0,5

Goal diff per game

-1,0

+1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

1,05 xG 0,74

54% Possession 46%

16 Shots 10

6 Shots on target 3

4 Blocked shots 1

2 Goalkeeper saves 5

8 Corners 6

1 Offside 2

13 Free kicks against 11

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Heracles 14. · Willem II 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	3	3	0	0	+12	+6.3	9
2	Groningen	3	2	1	0	+4	+1.3	7
3	Utrecht	3	2	1	0	+2	+0.1	7
4	AZ Alkmaar	3	2	1	0	+2	+1.9	7
5	For Sittard	2	2	0	0	+5	+1.8	6
6	Feyenoord	2	1	1	0	+4	+3.5	4
7	Willem II	2	1	1	0	+2	-1.2	4
8	Twente	2	1	1	0	+1	+3.0	4
9	Ajax	2	1	0	1	+0	+1.3	3
10	Nijmegen	3	1	0	2	-1	-0.7	3
11	NAC Breda	3	1	0	2	-3	-2.4	3
12	Sparta Rotterdam	2	0	2	0	+0	-1.5	2
13	Heerenveen	2	0	1	1	-1	+0.6	1
14	Heracles	2	0	1	1	-2	-1.2	1
15	Go Ahead Eagles	2	0	0	2	-4	+0.2	0
16	Waalwijk	2	0	0	2	-5	-3.1	0
17	Zwolle	3	0	0	3	-6	-3.9	0
18	Almere City	3	0	0	3	-10	-6.1	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Groningen	2	1	1	0	+3	+0.2	4
2	PSV Eindhoven	1	1	0	0	+4	+2.0	3
3	For Sittard	1	1	0	0	+3	+2.6	3
4	Willem II	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.5	3
5	Ajax	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.0	3
6	Utrecht	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.7	3
7	AZ Alkmaar	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.6	3
8	NAC Breda	2	1	0	1	+0	-1.3	3
9	Nijmegen	2	1	0	1	+0	-0.1	3
10	Twente	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.5	1
11	Heerenveen	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.6	1
12	Feyenoord	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.7	1
13	Sparta Rotterdam	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.0	1
14	Waalwijk	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.1	0
15	Heracles	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.2	0
16	Go Ahead Eagles	1	0	0	1	-2	+0.7	0
17	Zwolle	1	0	0	1	-4	-1.9	0
18	Almere City	2	0	0	2	-7	-3.5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	2	2	0	0	+8	+4.4	6
2	Utrecht	2	1	1	0	+1	-0.6	4
3	AZ Alkmaar	2	1	1	0	+1	+1.3	4
4	Feyenoord	1	1	0	0	+4	+1.9	3
5	For Sittard	1	1	0	0	+2	-0.7	3
6	Groningen	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.1	3
7	Twente	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.5	3
8	Sparta Rotterdam	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.5	1
9	Willem II	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.7	1
10	Heracles	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.0	1
11	Ajax	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.3	0
12	Heerenveen	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.0	0
13	Nijmegen	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.6	0
14	Go Ahead Eagles	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.5	0
15	Zwolle	2	0	0	2	-2	-2.1	0
16	NAC Breda	1	0	0	1	-3	-1.0	0
17	Almere City	1	0	0	1	-3	-2.6	0
18	Waalwijk	1	0	0	1	-4	-2.0	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.