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Bundesliga

Referee: F Jäger

Wolfsberger AC

S T S T T

4–2

Full-time

Grazer AK

T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Wolfsberger AC Grazer AK

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/3 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

1,5

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

83%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

3,7

3,0

Scored

2,2

1,3

Conceded

1,5

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,7

-0,3

This season — Bundesliga · 3/3 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

1,0

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

3,7

3,0

Scored

1,7

1,3

Conceded

2,0

1,7

Goal diff per game

-0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

42% Possession 58%

12 Shots 12

8 Shots on target 4

0 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 5

5 Corners 4

1 Offside 2

16 Free kicks against 10

5 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Wolfsberger AC 9. · Grazer AK 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Salzburg	3	3	0	0	+6	9
2	Sturm Graz	4	3	0	1	+4	9
3	SK Rapid	3	2	1	0	+3	7
4	Altach	4	2	0	2	+1	6
5	Austria Vienna	3	1	1	1	+1	4
6	Tirol	4	1	1	2	-2	4
7	BW Linz	3	1	1	1	-3	4
8	A. Klagenfurt	4	1	1	2	-4	4
9	Wolfsberger AC	3	1	0	2	-1	3
10	LASK	3	1	0	2	-1	3
11	Grazer AK	3	0	2	1	-1	2
12	Hartberg	3	0	1	2	-3	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sturm Graz	2	2	0	0	+3	6
2	SK Rapid	2	2	0	0	+3	6
3	Salzburg	1	1	0	0	+4	3
4	Wolfsberger AC	1	1	0	0	+3	3
5	Austria Vienna	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Altach	2	1	0	1	+1	3
7	BW Linz	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Grazer AK	2	0	1	1	-1	1
9	Hartberg	2	0	1	1	-1	1
10	Tirol	2	0	1	1	-1	1
11	A. Klagenfurt	2	0	1	1	-2	1
12	LASK	2	0	0	2	-2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Salzburg	2	2	0	0	+2	6
2	Sturm Graz	2	1	0	1	+1	3
3	LASK	1	1	0	0	+1	3
4	Altach	2	1	0	1	+0	3
5	Tirol	2	1	0	1	-1	3
6	A. Klagenfurt	2	1	0	1	-2	3
7	SK Rapid	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Grazer AK	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Austria Vienna	2	0	1	1	-1	1
10	BW Linz	2	0	1	1	-4	1
11	Hartberg	1	0	0	1	-2	0
12	Wolfsberger AC	2	0	0	2	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.