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Ekstraklasa

Referee: D Stefanski

GKS Katowice

T S T U U

3–1

Full-time

Jagiellonia

S T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

GKS Katowice Jagiellonia

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

0,8

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

2,2

3,8

Scored

0,7

1,5

Conceded

1,5

2,3

Goal diff per game

-0,8

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Ekstraklasa · 5/4 matches

Win Ø 48%

20%

75%

Points per game

1,0

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 45%

40%

50%

Both score Ø 45%

40%

50%

Average goals

1,8

3,8

Scored

0,8

2,3

Conceded

1,0

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,8

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

1,59 xG 2,53

35% Possession 65%

20 Shots 9

6 Shots on target 5

4 Blocked shots 3

4 Goalkeeper saves 3

4 Corners 4

4 Offside 1

16 Free kicks against 12

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match GKS Katowice 12. · Jagiellonia 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Cracovia	6	4	1	1	+4	-2.2	13
2	Rakow	6	3	2	1	+3	+4.8	11
3	Widzew Lodz	6	3	2	1	+2	-1.6	11
4	Piast Gliwice	6	3	2	1	+2	-0.4	11
5	Legia	5	3	1	1	+5	+2.6	10
6	Pogon Szczecin	5	3	1	1	+5	+3.0	10
7	Lech Poznan	5	3	1	1	+4	+1.2	10
8	Jagiellonia	4	3	0	1	+3	-0.9	9
9	Gornik Zabrze	6	2	2	2	-1	-1.3	8
10	Puszcza	6	1	3	2	+0	+1.4	6
11	Motor Lublin	5	1	3	1	+0	+0.8	6
12	GKS Katowice	5	1	2	2	-1	-2.1	5
13	Zaglebie	6	1	2	3	-3	+0.4	5
14	Stal Mielec	5	1	1	3	-2	+0.6	4
15	Slask Wroclaw	4	0	3	1	-2	+2.9	3
16	Radomiak Radom	5	1	0	4	-5	-0.8	3
17	Korona Kielce	5	0	2	3	-6	-5.2	2
18	Lechia Gdansk	6	0	2	4	-8	-3.4	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Pogon Szczecin	3	3	0	0	+6	+5.2	9
2	Piast Gliwice	3	2	1	0	+3	-0.7	7
3	Widzew Lodz	3	2	1	0	+2	-0.2	7
4	Legia	3	2	0	1	+4	+4.3	6
5	Lech Poznan	2	2	0	0	+4	+1.6	6
6	Jagiellonia	3	2	0	1	+2	+0.9	6
7	Puszcza	3	1	2	0	+3	+2.1	5
8	Stal Mielec	3	1	1	1	+1	+1.4	4
9	Gornik Zabrze	2	1	1	0	+1	+1.6	4
10	Zaglebie	3	1	1	1	+0	+1.0	4
11	Cracovia	3	1	1	1	-1	-1.7	4
12	Slask Wroclaw	2	0	2	0	+0	+1.9	2
13	Motor Lublin	3	0	2	1	-2	+0.1	2
14	Rakow	2	0	1	1	-1	+1.9	1
15	GKS Katowice	3	0	1	2	-2	-0.7	1
16	Lechia Gdansk	3	0	1	2	-3	-1.9	1
17	Radomiak Radom	2	0	0	2	-2	+2.4	0
18	Korona Kielce	2	0	0	2	-3	-1.0	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Rakow	4	3	1	0	+4	+2.9	10
2	Cracovia	3	3	0	0	+5	-0.4	9
3	Motor Lublin	2	1	1	0	+2	+0.7	4
4	Legia	2	1	1	0	+1	-1.7	4
5	GKS Katowice	2	1	1	0	+1	-1.3	4
6	Widzew Lodz	3	1	1	1	+0	-1.4	4
7	Lech Poznan	3	1	1	1	+0	-0.4	4
8	Piast Gliwice	3	1	1	1	-1	+0.3	4
9	Gornik Zabrze	4	1	1	2	-2	-2.9	4
10	Jagiellonia	1	1	0	0	+1	-1.8	3
11	Radomiak Radom	3	1	0	2	-3	-3.2	3
12	Korona Kielce	3	0	2	1	-3	-4.2	2
13	Pogon Szczecin	2	0	1	1	-1	-2.1	1
14	Slask Wroclaw	2	0	1	1	-2	+1.0	1
15	Zaglebie	3	0	1	2	-3	-0.6	1
16	Puszcza	3	0	1	2	-3	-0.7	1
17	Lechia Gdansk	3	0	1	2	-5	-1.5	1
18	Stal Mielec	2	0	0	2	-3	-0.8	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.