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Süper Lig

Referee: A Karaoğlan

Antalyaspor

T S U U T

3–2

Full-time

Hatayspor

S U S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Antalyaspor Hatayspor

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

0,8

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 83%

83%

Average goals

3,0

2,7

Scored

1,2

1,5

Conceded

1,8

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,7

+0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Süper Lig · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 0%

Points per game

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 75%

50%

100%

Average goals

3,0

2,5

Scored

1,0

Conceded

2,0

1,5

Goal diff per game

-1,0

-0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

2,23 xG 1,38

63% Possession 37%

11 Shots 9

7 Shots on target 5

1 Blocked shots 3

3 Goalkeeper saves 3

10 Corners 2

1 Offside 3

14 Free kicks against 16

4 Yellow cards 6

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Antalyaspor 18. · Hatayspor 16. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Eyüpspor	3	2	1	0	+4	-0.4	7
2	Besiktas	2	2	0	0	+4	+1.2	6
3	Galatasaray	2	2	0	0	+2	+2.2	6
4	Buyuksehyr	2	1	1	0	+2	-2.6	4
5	Rizespor	2	1	1	0	+1	+1.5	4
6	Fenerbahce	2	1	1	0	+1	+2.5	4
7	Sivasspor	3	1	1	1	+0	-1.6	4
8	Goztep	3	0	3	0	+0	-0.6	3
9	Gaziantep	2	1	0	1	+0	-0.4	3
10	Samsunspor	2	1	0	1	-1	+0.7	3
11	Konyaspor	3	1	0	2	-2	-0.5	3
12	Bodrumspor	3	1	0	2	-2	+1.2	3
13	Kasimpasa	3	0	2	1	-1	+1.0	2
14	Alanyaspor	3	0	2	1	-2	+2.7	2
15	Trabzonspor	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.4	1
16	Hatayspor	2	0	1	1	-1	-3.6	1
17	Ad. Demirspor	3	0	1	2	-2	-1.9	1
18	Antalyaspor	2	0	1	1	-2	-2.5	1
19	Kayserispor	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Eyüpspor	1	1	0	0	+3	+0.6	3
2	Besiktas	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.9	3
3	Buyuksehyr	1	1	0	0	+2	-1.3	3
4	Bodrumspor	2	1	0	1	+1	+1.8	3
5	Galatasaray	1	1	0	0	+1	+3.0	3
6	Fenerbahce	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.2	3
7	Alanyaspor	2	0	2	0	+0	+1.4	2
8	Goztep	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.3	1
9	Rizespor	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.3	1
10	Hatayspor	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.6	1
11	Antalyaspor	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.5	1
12	Kasimpasa	2	0	1	1	-1	+0.4	1
13	Sivasspor	2	0	1	1	-1	-1.0	1
14	Konyaspor	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.8	0
15	Kayserispor	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.6	0
16	Ad. Demirspor	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.2	0
17	Gaziantep	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.1	0
18	Samsunspor	1	0	0	1	-2	+0.7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Eyüpspor	2	1	1	0	+1	-0.9	4
2	Besiktas	1	1	0	0	+2	-0.7	3
3	Galatasaray	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.8	3
4	Sivasspor	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.6	3
5	Rizespor	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.2	3
6	Samsunspor	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.1	3
7	Gaziantep	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.5	3
8	Konyaspor	2	1	0	1	-1	-1.3	3
9	Goztep	2	0	2	0	+0	+0.6	2
10	Fenerbahce	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.3	1
11	Buyuksehyr	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.3	1
12	Kasimpasa	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.6	1
13	Trabzonspor	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.4	1
14	Ad. Demirspor	2	0	1	1	-1	-1.7	1
15	Hatayspor	1	0	0	1	-1	-3.0	0
16	Antalyaspor	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.9	0
17	Alanyaspor	1	0	0	1	-2	+1.3	0
18	Bodrumspor	1	0	0	1	-3	-0.6	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.