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Pro League

Referee: K Van Damme

Charleroi

S T S S T

1–0

Full-time

Kortrijk

S S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Charleroi Kortrijk

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

67%

50%

Points per game

2,0

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,7

3,0

Scored

1,8

1,3

Conceded

0,8

1,7

Goal diff per game

+1,0

-0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Pro League · 4/3 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,5

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 29%

25%

33%

Both score Ø 29%

25%

33%

Average goals

2,0

2,3

Scored

1,3

0,7

Conceded

0,8

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-1,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,09 xG 0,42

67% Possession 33%

12 Shots 5

3 Shots on target 1

4 Blocked shots 0

1 Goalkeeper saves 2

4 Corners 2

4 Offside 2

8 Free kicks against 11

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Charleroi 7. · Kortrijk 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Dender	5	2	2	1	+3	-0.4	8
2	St. Gilloise	5	2	2	1	+2	+2.8	8
3	Anderlecht	3	2	1	0	+3	+2.4	7
4	Standard	4	2	1	1	+1	-2.4	7
5	Antwerp	3	2	0	1	+5	+2.3	6
6	Gent	4	2	0	2	+2	-0.3	6
7	Charleroi	4	2	0	2	+2	+1.4	6
8	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	4	1	3	0	+2	+0.1	6
9	Westerlo	3	2	0	1	+1	+1.1	6
10	Club Brugge	3	1	1	1	+0	+1.5	4
11	Genk	3	1	1	1	-1	+3.4	4
12	Mechelen	3	1	1	1	-1	-2.4	4
13	Kortrijk	3	1	0	2	-3	+1.0	3
14	St Truiden	5	0	2	3	-9	-4.4	2
15	Cercle Brugge	2	0	1	1	-3	-2.9	1
16	Beerschot VA	4	0	1	3	-4	-3.1	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Westerlo	2	2	0	0	+4	+2.7	6
2	St. Gilloise	2	2	0	0	+3	+3.0	6
3	Standard	2	2	0	0	+2	+0.5	6
4	Dender	3	1	1	1	+2	+0.5	4
5	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	2	1	1	0	+2	+0.5	4
6	Anderlecht	2	1	1	0	+1	+1.8	4
7	Antwerp	2	1	0	1	+4	+1.2	3
8	Gent	2	1	0	1	+2	+1.6	3
9	Kortrijk	2	1	0	1	+0	+1.7	3
10	Charleroi	2	1	0	1	+0	+0.4	3
11	St Truiden	3	0	2	1	-3	-2.6	2
12	Club Brugge	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.4	1
13	Genk	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.7	1
14	Beerschot VA	2	0	1	1	-1	-1.1	1
15	Mechelen	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Dender	2	1	1	0	+1	-0.8	4
2	Mechelen	2	1	1	0	+1	-1.8	4
3	Charleroi	2	1	0	1	+2	+1.0	3
4	Anderlecht	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.6	3
5	Antwerp	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.1	3
6	Club Brugge	2	1	0	1	+0	+0.1	3
7	Gent	2	1	0	1	+0	-1.9	3
8	Genk	2	1	0	1	-1	+1.8	3
9	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	2	0	2	0	+0	-0.4	2
10	St. Gilloise	3	0	2	1	-1	-0.2	2
11	Standard	2	0	1	1	-1	-2.9	1
12	Cercle Brugge	2	0	1	1	-3	-2.9	1
13	Beerschot VA	2	0	0	2	-3	-2.1	0
14	Westerlo	1	0	0	1	-3	-1.6	0
15	Kortrijk	1	0	0	1	-3	-0.7	0
16	St Truiden	2	0	0	2	-6	-1.8	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.