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LaLiga2
Referee: Jon González
Castellon
T S S T T
0–0
Full-time
Oviedo
U S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Castellon Oviedo
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,0
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
50%
17%
Both score Ø 25%
33%
17%
Average goals
2,5
2,2
Scored
0,8
1,2
Conceded
1,7
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,2
This season — LaLiga2 · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
0%
100%
Points per game
0,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 0%
0%
0%
Both score Ø 0%
0%
0%
Average goals
1,0
1,0
Scored
0,0
1,0
Conceded
1,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

59% Possession 41%
20 Shots 7
6 Shots on target 1
5 Blocked shots 1
0 Goalkeeper saves 5
10 Corners 3
5 Offside 0
14 Free kicks against 16
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Castellon 17. · Oviedo 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Albacete 2 2 0 0 +2 6
2 Huesca 2 2 0 0 +2 6
3 Eibar 2 1 1 0 +1 4
4 Levante 2 1 1 0 +1 4
5 Almeria 2 1 1 0 +1 4
6 Mirandes 2 1 1 0 +1 4
7 Eldense 2 1 1 0 +1 4
8 Zaragoza 1 1 0 0 +4 3
9 Burgos 1 1 0 0 +2 3
10 Oviedo 1 1 0 0 +1 3
11 Granada 2 1 0 1 +0 3
12 Santander 2 0 2 0 +0 2
13 Malaga 2 0 2 0 +0 2
14 Ferrol 2 0 1 1 -1 1
15 Sp Gijon 2 0 1 1 -1 1
16 Cadiz 2 0 1 1 -4 1
17 Castellon 1 0 0 1 -1 0
18 Cordoba 1 0 0 1 -1 0
19 La Coruna 2 0 0 2 -2 0
20 Tenerife 2 0 0 2 -2 0
21 Cartagena 1 0 0 1 -2 0
22 Elche 2 0 0 2 -2 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Castellon Oviedo
31′
ℹ️ Dani Calvo
VAR: Penalty cancelled
Half-time 0–0
57′
🟨 Kwasi Sibo
62′
🔁 Santi Cazorla
↦ Carlos Dotor
62′
🔁 Masca
↦ H. Hassan
T. van den Belt 🔁
↦ Óscar Gil
69′
Cala 🔁
↦ De Miguel
69′
Israel Suero 🔁
↦ M. Seuntjens
69′
75′
🔁 Paulino de la Fuente
↦ Sebas Moyano
83′
🔁 D. Paraschiv
↦ Alemão
83′
🔁 David Costas
↦ K. Sibo
90′
🟨 Paulino de la Fuente
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Castellon

3-5-2
1 G. Crettaz G
22 D. Chirino D
5 Alberto Jiménez D
33 J. Vertrouwd D
8 K. Mamah M
7 Sergio Moyita M
14 Óscar Gil M
20 M. Seuntjens M
10 Raúl Sánchez M
11 Douglas Aurélio F
9 De Miguel F
Bench (12)
6 T. van den Belt
21 Cala
4 Israel Suero
27 José Albert
15 J. Willems
23 Josep Calavera
26 Íker Punzano
19 Dani Villahermosa
16 B. Cipenga
46 Peré
30 B. Schwake
29 Boriko

Coach: D. Schreuder

Oviedo

4-2-3-1
13 Aarón Escandell G
24 Lucas Ahijado D
15 Oier Luengo D
12 Dani Calvo D
3 R. Alhassane D
6 K. Sibo M
5 Alberto del Moral M
23 H. Hassan M
22 Carlos Dotor M
7 Sebas Moyano M
9 Alemão F
Bench (11)
8 Santi Cazorla
17 Masca
18 Paulino de la Fuente
14 D. Paraschiv
4 David Costas
27 Álex Cardero
1 Q. Braat
2 Álvaro Lemos
21 Carlos Pomares
10 Borja Sánchez
29 Jaime Vázquez

Coach: Javier Calleja

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,12
U ✓
3,16
B
3,54
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,24
U2,5 ✓
1,62
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Jon González · 71 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,4 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.