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2. Bundesliga

Referee: E Weisbach

Ulm

T T T

1–2

Full-time

Fortuna Dusseldorf

S T S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ulm Fortuna Dusseldorf

Last 6 — all competitions · 3/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

0,0

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 25%

33%

17%

Average goals

2,7

2,5

Scored

0,3

1,3

Conceded

2,3

1,2

Goal diff per game

-2,0

+0,2

This season — 2. Bundesliga · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

0,0

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

50%

Both score Ø 25%

50%

Average goals

2,0

1,0

Scored

0,5

1,0

Conceded

1,5

0,0

Goal diff per game

-1,0

+1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

45% Possession 55%

21 Shots 12

8 Shots on target 5

4 Blocked shots 1

3 Goalkeeper saves 7

6 Corners 5

1 Offside 1

10 Free kicks against 13

2 Yellow cards 5

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Ulm 16. · Fortuna Dusseldorf 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paderborn	3	2	1	0	+3	7
2	Hannover	3	2	1	0	+3	7
3	Karlsruhe	3	2	1	0	+2	7
4	Kaiserslautern	3	2	1	0	+2	7
5	Greuther Furth	3	1	2	0	+2	5
6	FC Koln	3	1	1	1	+4	4
7	Magdeburg	2	1	1	0	+2	4
8	Fortuna Dusseldorf	2	1	1	0	+2	4
9	Hertha	3	1	1	1	+1	4
10	Hamburg	3	1	1	1	+0	4
11	Schalke 04	2	1	0	1	+2	3
12	Nurnberg	2	1	0	1	+1	3
13	Regensburg	3	1	0	2	-3	3
14	Elversberg	3	0	2	1	-1	2
15	Preußen Münster	3	0	1	2	-3	1
16	Ulm	2	0	0	2	-2	0
17	Darmstadt	2	0	0	2	-4	0
18	Braunschweig	3	0	0	3	-11	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hannover	2	2	0	0	+3	6
2	Karlsruhe	2	2	0	0	+2	6
3	Greuther Furth	2	1	1	0	+2	4
4	FC Koln	2	1	0	1	+4	3
5	Schalke 04	1	1	0	0	+4	3
6	Paderborn	1	1	0	0	+2	3
7	Nurnberg	1	1	0	0	+2	3
8	Hertha	2	1	0	1	+1	3
9	Regensburg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Elversberg	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Kaiserslautern	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Hamburg	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Fortuna Dusseldorf	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Magdeburg	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Preußen Münster	2	0	1	1	-1	1
16	Ulm	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Braunschweig	1	0	0	1	-2	0
18	Darmstadt	1	0	0	1	-2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Kaiserslautern	2	2	0	0	+2	6
2	Paderborn	2	1	1	0	+1	4
3	Magdeburg	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Fortuna Dusseldorf	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Hamburg	2	1	0	1	+0	3
6	FC Koln	1	0	1	0	+0	1
7	Greuther Furth	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Hertha	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Karlsruhe	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Hannover	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Elversberg	2	0	1	1	-1	1
12	Nurnberg	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	Ulm	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Darmstadt	1	0	0	1	-2	0
15	Preußen Münster	1	0	0	1	-2	0
16	Schalke 04	1	0	0	1	-2	0
17	Regensburg	2	0	0	2	-4	0
18	Braunschweig	2	0	0	2	-9	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.