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La Liga
Referee: Ricardo De Burgos
Leganes
T S U S U
2–1
Full-time
Las Palmas
T U U U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Leganes Las Palmas
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
50%
0%
Points per game
1,8
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,5
2,2
Scored
1,5
0,8
Conceded
1,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — La Liga · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
1,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
0%
100%
Both score Ø 100%
100%
100%
Average goals
2,0
4,0
Scored
1,0
2,0
Conceded
1,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,48 xG 0,87
40% Possession 60%
10 Shots 10
5 Shots on target 5
1 Blocked shots 2
4 Goalkeeper saves 3
3 Corners 7
1 Offside 0
11 Free kicks against 10
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Leganes 12. · Las Palmas 11.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Celta 2 2 0 0 +3 -0.4 6
2 Barcelona 2 2 0 0 +2 +3.0 6
3 Real Madrid 2 1 1 0 +3 +1.3 4
4 Villarreal 2 1 1 0 +1 -0.5 4
5 Vallecano 2 1 1 0 +1 -0.2 4
6 Osasuna 2 1 1 0 +1 +0.7 4
7 Sociedad 2 1 0 1 +0 -0.7 3
8 Valladolid 2 1 0 1 -2 -1.6 3
9 Getafe 2 0 2 0 +0 +0.7 2
10 Ath Madrid 1 0 1 0 +0 +0.3 1
11 Las Palmas 1 0 1 0 +0 -0.4 1
12 Leganes 1 0 1 0 +0 -0.8 1
13 Betis 1 0 1 0 +0 -0.2 1
14 Girona 1 0 1 0 +0 +0.2 1
15 Sevilla 2 0 1 1 -1 +0.6 1
16 Ath Bilbao 2 0 1 1 -1 -1.3 1
17 Mallorca 2 0 1 1 -1 +0.5 1
18 Alaves 1 0 0 1 -1 +0.8 0
19 Espanol 2 0 0 2 -2 +0.5 0
20 Valencia 2 0 0 2 -3 -2.6 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Leganes Las Palmas
Miguel de la Fuente 🟨
39′
Half-time 0–0
47′
🟨 Kirian Rodríguez
Dani Raba
penalty missed
54′
Juan Cruz 🔁
↦ Dani Raba
62′
R. Tapia 🔁
↦ D. Brašanac
62′
65′
🔁 Viti Rozada
↦ Álex Suárez
66′
🔁 E. Loiodice
↦ Alberto Moleiro
1–0 Juan Cruz
Y. Neyou
71′
77′
🔁 Jaime Mata
↦ Álex Muñoz
78′
🔁 Benito Ramírez
↦ Marvin Park
Enric Franquesa 🔁
↦ S. Cissé
82′
Diego García 🔁
↦ Miguel de la Fuente
82′
2–0 Enric Franquesa
Óscar Rodríguez
85′
86′
🔁 Manu Fuster
↦ Kirian Rodríguez
Adrià Alti 🔁
↦ Óscar Rodríguez
87′
93′
Sandro Ramírez 2–1
O. McBurnie
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Leganes

4-1-4-1
1 Juan Soriano G
12 V. Rosier D
22 Aritz Arambarri D
6 Sergio González D
20 Javi Hernández D
17 Y. Neyou M
14 D. Brašanac M
10 Dani Raba M
7 Óscar Rodríguez M
8 S. Cissé M
9 Miguel de la Fuente F
Bench (12)
11 Juan Cruz
5 R. Tapia
15 Enric Franquesa
19 Diego García
2 Adrià Alti
21 Roberto López
36 Alvin
4 J. Porozo
13 M. Dmitrović
24 J. Chicco
23 M. El Haddadi
3 Jorge Sáenz

Coach: Borja Jiménez

Las Palmas

4-2-3-1
1 J. Cillessen G
4 Álex Suárez D
15 S. McKenna D
3 Mika Mármol D
23 Álex Muñoz D
5 Javi Muñoz M
20 Kirian Rodríguez M
2 Marvin Park M
10 Alberto Moleiro M
19 Sandro Ramírez M
16 O. McBurnie F
Bench (12)
18 Viti Rozada
12 E. Loiodice
17 Jaime Mata
11 Benito Ramírez
14 Manu Fuster
28 Juanma Herzog
22 D. Sinkgraven
21 Iván Gil
9 Marc Cardona
13 D. Horkaš
8 José Campaña
26 A. Bassinga

Coach: Luis Carrión

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,29
U
2,99
B
3,64
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,69
U2,5
1,46
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Ricardo De Burgos · 119 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,2 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.