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Ligue 1
Referee: J Stinat
Toulouse
U S T S T
0–0
Full-time
Nantes
T U U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Toulouse Nantes
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,7
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
100%
50%
Both score Ø 58%
83%
33%
Average goals
3,3
2,2
Scored
1,7
0,5
Conceded
1,7
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-1,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,71 xG 0,47
54% Possession 46%
7 Shots 6
3 Shots on target 2
3 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 6
10 Corners 5
10 Free kicks against 8
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

11. Feb -24 Toulouse – Nantes 1–2 13. Aug -23 Nantes – Toulouse 1–2 14. May -23 Toulouse – Nantes 0–0 29. Apr -23 Nantes – Toulouse 1–5 28. Aug -22 Nantes – Toulouse 3–1

Match report

Toulouse Nantes
Warren Kamanzi 🟨
24′
45′
🟨 Tino Kadewere
Half-time 0–0
V. Sierro 🔁
↦ N. Schmidt
61′
G. Suazo 🔁
↦ A. Dønnum
61′
71′
🟨 Jean-Charles Castelletto
71′
🟨 Marcus Coco
75′
🔁 J. Duverne
↦ M. Coco
75′
🔁 Mostafa Mohamed
↦ M. Simon
83′
🔁 J. Lepenant
↦ T. Kadewere
N. Skyttä 🔁
↦ F. Magri
86′
D. Sidibé 🔁
↦ W. Kamanzi
86′
90′
🔁 N. Pallois
↦ S. Thomas
90′
🔁 B. Guirassy
↦ M. Abline
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Toulouse

3-4-3
50 G. Restes G
4 C. Cresswell D
6 Logan Costa D
2 R. Nicolaisen D
12 W. Kamanzi M
23 C. Cásseres M
20 N. Schmidt M
15 A. Dønnum M
7 Z. Aboukhlal F
9 F. Magri F
10 Y. Gboho F
Bench (9)
8 V. Sierro
17 G. Suazo
22 N. Skyttä
19 D. Sidibé
5 D. Genreau
21 M. Bangré
33 D. Methalie
30 Álex Domínguez
3 M. McKenzie

Coach: Carles Martínez

Nantes

4-2-3-1
1 A. Lafont G
11 M. Coco D
21 J. Castelletto D
44 N. Zézé D
98 K. Amian D
5 Pedro Chirivella M
6 Douglas Augusto M
22 S. Thomas M
10 T. Kadewere M
27 M. Simon M
39 M. Abline F
Bench (9)
2 J. Duverne
31 Mostafa Mohamed
8 J. Lepenant
4 N. Pallois
62 B. Guirassy
50 H. Barbet
66 L. Leroux
41 M. Acapandié
59 D. Assoumani

Coach: A. Kombouare

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,08
🔒
U ✓
3,30
🔒
B
3,75
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
2,23
🔒
U2,5 ✓
1,67
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

J Stinat · 142 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.