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Serie A

Referee: L Pairetto

Napoli

T U U U T

3–0

Full-time

Bologna

U S U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Napoli Bologna

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 9%

17%

Points per game

0,7

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

33%

17%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

1,8

2,3

Scored

0,5

1,2

Conceded

1,3

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,8

+0,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Serie A · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 0%

Points per game

0,0

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

100%

Both score Ø 50%

100%

Average goals

3,0

2,0

Scored

0,0

1,0

Conceded

3,0

1,0

Goal diff per game

-3,0

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

2,46 xG 0,64

39% Possession 61%

16 Shots 9

5 Shots on target 2

7 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 2

7 Corners 5

1 Offside 1

11 Free kicks against 17

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Napoli 19. · Bologna 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Inter	2	1	1	0	+2	+2.0	4
2	Torino	2	1	1	0	+1	-1.9	4
3	Parma	2	1	1	0	+1	+0.8	4
4	Udinese	2	1	1	0	+1	-2.7	4
5	Genoa	2	1	1	0	+1	+0.4	4
6	Atalanta	2	1	0	1	+3	+0.9	3
7	Juventus	1	1	0	0	+3	+1.0	3
8	Verona	1	1	0	0	+3	+0.9	3
9	Lazio	2	1	0	1	+1	+2.2	3
10	Fiorentina	2	0	2	0	+0	-0.8	2
11	Bologna	1	0	1	0	+0	+2.3	1
12	Cagliari	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.0	1
13	Roma	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.0	1
14	Empoli	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.1	1
15	Milan	2	0	1	1	-1	+1.4	1
16	Monza	2	0	1	1	-1	-0.4	1
17	Venezia	2	0	1	1	-2	-2.0	1
18	Como	1	0	0	1	-3	-1.0	0
19	Napoli	1	0	0	1	-3	-0.9	0
20	Lecce	2	0	0	2	-6	-2.3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Parma	2	1	1	0	+1	+0.8	4
2	Juventus	1	1	0	0	+3	+1.0	3
3	Verona	1	1	0	0	+3	+0.9	3
4	Lazio	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.8	3
5	Inter	1	1	0	0	+2	+2.1	3
6	Udinese	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.5	3
7	Torino	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.8	3
8	Milan	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.1	1
9	Genoa	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.1	1
10	Bologna	1	0	1	0	+0	+2.3	1
11	Fiorentina	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.3	1
12	Cagliari	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.0	1
13	Empoli	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.1	1
14	Monza	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.2	0
15	Lecce	1	0	0	1	-4	-0.2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Atalanta	2	1	0	1	+3	+0.9	3
2	Genoa	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.2	3
3	Torino	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.1	1
4	Inter	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.1	1
5	Fiorentina	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.1	1
6	Udinese	1	0	1	0	+0	-2.3	1
7	Roma	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.0	1
8	Monza	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.1	1
9	Venezia	2	0	1	1	-2	-2.0	1
10	Milan	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.2	0
11	Lazio	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.5	0
12	Lecce	1	0	0	1	-2	-2.1	0
13	Como	1	0	0	1	-3	-1.0	0
14	Napoli	1	0	0	1	-3	-0.9	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.