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Serie A

Referee: A Rapuano

Torino

S S T S U

2–1

Full-time

Atalanta

S S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Torino Atalanta

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

50%

67%

Points per game

1,8

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 34%

50%

17%

Average goals

2,7

3,0

Scored

1,5

2,3

Conceded

1,2

0,7

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+1,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Serie A · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 50%

100%

Points per game

1,0

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 100%

100%

Both score Ø 50%

100%

Average goals

4,0

Scored

2,0

4,0

Conceded

2,0

0,0

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+4,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

2,38 xG 3,14

42% Possession 58%

13 Shots 24

6 Shots on target 8

2 Blocked shots 4

8 Goalkeeper saves 4

4 Corners 6

1 Offside 0

8 Free kicks against 13

3 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Torino 9. · Atalanta 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Inter	2	1	1	0	+2	+2.0	4
2	Parma	2	1	1	0	+1	+0.8	4
3	Udinese	2	1	1	0	+1	-2.7	4
4	Genoa	2	1	1	0	+1	+0.4	4
5	Atalanta	1	1	0	0	+4	+0.2	3
6	Juventus	1	1	0	0	+3	+1.0	3
7	Verona	1	1	0	0	+3	+0.9	3
8	Lazio	2	1	0	1	+1	+2.2	3
9	Torino	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.1	1
10	Fiorentina	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.1	1
11	Bologna	1	0	1	0	+0	+2.3	1
12	Cagliari	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.0	1
13	Roma	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.0	1
14	Empoli	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.1	1
15	Milan	2	0	1	1	-1	+1.4	1
16	Monza	2	0	1	1	-1	-0.4	1
17	Venezia	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.8	0
18	Como	1	0	0	1	-3	-1.0	0
19	Napoli	1	0	0	1	-3	-0.9	0
20	Lecce	2	0	0	2	-6	-2.3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Parma	2	1	1	0	+1	+0.8	4
2	Juventus	1	1	0	0	+3	+1.0	3
3	Verona	1	1	0	0	+3	+0.9	3
4	Lazio	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.8	3
5	Inter	1	1	0	0	+2	+2.1	3
6	Udinese	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.5	3
7	Milan	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.1	1
8	Genoa	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.1	1
9	Bologna	1	0	1	0	+0	+2.3	1
10	Cagliari	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.0	1
11	Empoli	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.1	1
12	Monza	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.2	0
13	Lecce	1	0	0	1	-4	-0.2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Atalanta	1	1	0	0	+4	+0.2	3
2	Genoa	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.2	3
3	Torino	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.1	1
4	Inter	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.1	1
5	Fiorentina	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.1	1
6	Udinese	1	0	1	0	+0	-2.3	1
7	Roma	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.0	1
8	Monza	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.1	1
9	Milan	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.2	0
10	Lazio	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.5	0
11	Venezia	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.8	0
12	Lecce	1	0	0	1	-2	-2.1	0
13	Como	1	0	0	1	-3	-1.0	0
14	Napoli	1	0	0	1	-3	-0.9	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.