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Eredivisie

Referee: J Kooij

Go Ahead Eagles

S U T T T

2–0

Full-time

Waalwijk

S U T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Go Ahead Eagles Waalwijk

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,2

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

50%

83%

Both score Ø 67%

50%

83%

Average goals

2,2

4,0

Scored

0,8

1,8

Conceded

1,3

2,2

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Eredivisie · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 0%

Points per game

0,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

100%

Both score Ø 50%

100%

Average goals

2,0

4,5

Scored

0,0

1,0

Conceded

2,0

3,5

Goal diff per game

-2,0

-2,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

2,26 xG 0,48

67% Possession 33%

20 Shots 8

6 Shots on target 2

5 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 4

7 Corners 1

2 Offside 0

9 Free kicks against 9

3 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Go Ahead Eagles 15. · Waalwijk 16. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	3	3	0	0	+12	+6.3	9
2	Groningen	3	2	1	0	+4	+1.3	7
3	Utrecht	3	2	1	0	+2	+0.1	7
4	AZ Alkmaar	3	2	1	0	+2	+1.9	7
5	For Sittard	2	2	0	0	+5	+1.8	6
6	Feyenoord	3	1	2	0	+4	+3.6	5
7	Willem II	3	1	2	0	+2	-1.5	5
8	Twente	2	1	1	0	+1	+3.0	4
9	Ajax	2	1	0	1	+0	+1.3	3
10	Sparta Rotterdam	3	0	3	0	+0	-1.6	3
11	Nijmegen	3	1	0	2	-1	-0.7	3
12	NAC Breda	3	1	0	2	-3	-2.4	3
13	Heracles	3	0	2	1	-2	-0.9	2
14	Heerenveen	2	0	1	1	-1	+0.6	1
15	Go Ahead Eagles	2	0	0	2	-4	+0.2	0
16	Waalwijk	2	0	0	2	-5	-3.1	0
17	Zwolle	3	0	0	3	-6	-3.9	0
18	Almere City	3	0	0	3	-10	-6.1	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Groningen	2	1	1	0	+3	+0.2	4
2	PSV Eindhoven	1	1	0	0	+4	+2.0	3
3	For Sittard	1	1	0	0	+3	+2.6	3
4	Willem II	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.5	3
5	Ajax	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.0	3
6	Utrecht	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.7	3
7	AZ Alkmaar	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.6	3
8	NAC Breda	2	1	0	1	+0	-1.3	3
9	Nijmegen	2	1	0	1	+0	-0.1	3
10	Sparta Rotterdam	2	0	2	0	+0	-0.1	2
11	Twente	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.5	1
12	Heerenveen	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.6	1
13	Feyenoord	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.7	1
14	Heracles	2	0	1	1	-2	-0.9	1
15	Waalwijk	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.1	0
16	Go Ahead Eagles	1	0	0	1	-2	+0.7	0
17	Zwolle	1	0	0	1	-4	-1.9	0
18	Almere City	2	0	0	2	-7	-3.5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	2	2	0	0	+8	+4.4	6
2	Feyenoord	2	1	1	0	+4	+2.0	4
3	Utrecht	2	1	1	0	+1	-0.6	4
4	AZ Alkmaar	2	1	1	0	+1	+1.3	4
5	For Sittard	1	1	0	0	+2	-0.7	3
6	Groningen	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.1	3
7	Twente	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.5	3
8	Willem II	2	0	2	0	+0	-2.0	2
9	Sparta Rotterdam	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.5	1
10	Heracles	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.0	1
11	Ajax	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.3	0
12	Heerenveen	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.0	0
13	Nijmegen	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.6	0
14	Go Ahead Eagles	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.5	0
15	Zwolle	2	0	0	2	-2	-2.1	0
16	NAC Breda	1	0	0	1	-3	-1.0	0
17	Almere City	1	0	0	1	-3	-2.6	0
18	Waalwijk	1	0	0	1	-4	-2.0	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.