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Ligue 1

Referee: T Léonard

Montpellier

S T S S T

0–1

Full-time

Lyon

U S T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Montpellier Lyon

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,7

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

17%

50%

Both score Ø 58%

33%

83%

Average goals

2,0

3,2

Scored

1,0

1,5

Conceded

1,0

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-0,2

This season — Ligue 1 · 14/13 matches

Win Ø 37%

36%

38%

Points per game

1,4

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 53%

43%

62%

Both score Ø 67%

57%

77%

Average goals

3,0

3,2

Scored

1,5

1,6

Conceded

1,5

1,6

Goal diff per game

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

44% Possession 56%

15 Shots 11

6 Shots on target 3

3 Blocked shots 3

2 Goalkeeper saves 6

8 Corners 5

1 Offside 1

7 Free kicks against 15

1 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Montpellier 9. · Lyon 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	15	13	1	1	+20	40
2	Rennes	15	8	4	3	+14	28
3	Nice	15	8	3	4	+13	27
4	Lens	15	7	4	4	+7	25
5	Marseille	13	6	5	2	+8	23
6	Angers	15	5	7	3	+4	22
7	Strasbourg	15	5	5	5	+6	20
8	Monaco	15	5	5	5	+1	20
9	Montpellier	14	5	4	5	+0	19
10	Lyon	13	5	4	4	+0	19
11	Nantes	15	5	4	6	+0	19
12	Brest	15	4	6	5	+0	18
13	Lille	15	4	6	5	-3	18
14	Reims	15	3	7	5	-2	16
15	Lorient	15	3	6	6	-10	15
16	Troyes	14	3	4	7	-9	13
17	Bordeaux	15	2	7	6	-10	13
18	Clermont	15	3	4	8	-12	13
19	Metz	15	2	6	7	-13	12
20	St Etienne	15	2	6	7	-14	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	7	7	0	0	+13	21
2	Rennes	8	6	1	1	+13	19
3	Lens	8	4	3	1	+9	15
4	Lyon	7	4	3	0	+7	15
5	Strasbourg	8	4	2	2	+10	14
6	Montpellier	7	4	2	1	+6	14
7	Nantes	7	4	1	2	+4	13
8	Angers	7	4	1	2	+3	13
9	Marseille	7	3	3	1	+6	12
10	Nice	8	3	3	2	+4	12
11	Monaco	8	3	3	2	+3	12
12	Lille	7	3	3	1	+0	12
13	Lorient	7	3	2	2	+0	11
14	Brest	7	2	3	2	+3	9
15	Reims	7	2	3	2	+0	9
16	Clermont	7	2	2	3	-1	8
17	St Etienne	8	1	4	3	-5	7
18	Troyes	7	1	3	3	-2	6
19	Bordeaux	8	1	3	4	-4	6
20	Metz	7	0	4	3	-6	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	8	6	1	1	+7	19
2	Nice	7	5	0	2	+9	15
3	Marseille	6	3	2	1	+2	11
4	Lens	7	3	1	3	-2	10
5	Angers	8	1	6	1	+1	9
6	Rennes	7	2	3	2	+1	9
7	Brest	8	2	3	3	-3	9
8	Monaco	7	2	2	3	-2	8
9	Metz	8	2	2	4	-7	8
10	Reims	8	1	4	3	-2	7
11	Bordeaux	7	1	4	2	-6	7
12	Troyes	7	2	1	4	-7	7
13	Lille	8	1	3	4	-3	6
14	Nantes	8	1	3	4	-4	6
15	Strasbourg	7	1	3	3	-4	6
16	Montpellier	7	1	2	4	-6	5
17	St Etienne	7	1	2	4	-9	5
18	Clermont	8	1	2	5	-11	5
19	Lyon	6	1	1	4	-7	4
20	Lorient	8	0	4	4	-10	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.