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Ligue 1

Referee: J Pignard

Paris SG

S U S S S

1–0

Full-time

Brest

U S T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Paris SG Brest

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

83%

17%

Points per game

2,7

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

83%

67%

Both score Ø 75%

67%

83%

Average goals

4,3

4,0

Scored

3,5

1,3

Conceded

0,8

2,7

Goal diff per game

+2,7

-1,3

This season — Ligue 1 · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

83%

17%

Points per game

2,7

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

83%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

50%

83%

Average goals

4,7

4,0

Scored

4,0

1,3

Conceded

0,7

2,7

Goal diff per game

+3,3

-1,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

61% Possession 39%

13 Shots 6

4 Shots on target 3

4 Blocked shots 0

3 Goalkeeper saves 3

3 Corners 5

3 Offside 1

13 Free kicks against 16

4 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Paris SG 2. · Brest 17. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lens	7	5	2	0	+9	17
2	Paris SG	6	5	1	0	+20	16
3	Marseille	6	5	1	0	+10	16
4	Lyon	6	4	1	1	+8	13
5	Lorient	6	4	1	1	+2	13
6	Lille	6	3	1	2	+0	10
7	Montpellier	6	3	0	3	+4	9
8	Clermont	6	3	0	3	-2	9
9	Rennes	6	2	2	2	+1	8
10	Monaco	6	2	2	2	-3	8
11	Troyes	7	2	1	4	-4	7
12	Auxerre	6	2	1	3	-4	7
13	Nantes	6	1	3	2	-2	6
14	Reims	6	1	3	2	-3	6
15	Toulouse	6	1	2	3	-4	5
16	Nice	6	1	2	3	-4	5
17	Brest	6	1	2	3	-8	5
18	Strasbourg	6	0	4	2	-2	4
19	Angers	6	0	2	4	-11	2
20	Ajaccio	6	0	1	5	-7	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lyon	4	4	0	0	+10	12
2	Lens	4	4	0	0	+6	12
3	Marseille	3	3	0	0	+5	9
4	Lorient	2	2	0	0	+3	6
5	Rennes	3	2	0	1	+2	6
6	Montpellier	4	2	0	2	+0	6
7	Clermont	3	2	0	1	-2	6
8	Paris SG	2	1	1	0	+3	4
9	Nantes	3	1	1	1	-1	4
10	Troyes	3	1	1	1	-1	4
11	Auxerre	3	1	1	1	-1	4
12	Lille	3	1	0	2	-4	3
13	Strasbourg	3	0	2	1	-1	2
14	Reims	3	0	2	1	-2	2
15	Toulouse	3	0	2	1	-3	2
16	Brest	3	0	2	1	-7	2
17	Ajaccio	3	0	1	2	-3	1
18	Angers	3	0	1	2	-4	1
19	Nice	3	0	1	2	-4	1
20	Monaco	3	0	1	2	-5	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	4	4	0	0	+17	12
2	Marseille	3	2	1	0	+5	7
3	Lille	3	2	1	0	+4	7
4	Monaco	3	2	1	0	+2	7
5	Lorient	4	2	1	1	-1	7
6	Lens	3	1	2	0	+3	5
7	Nice	3	1	1	1	+0	4
8	Reims	3	1	1	1	-1	4
9	Montpellier	2	1	0	1	+4	3
10	Clermont	3	1	0	2	+0	3
11	Brest	3	1	0	2	-1	3
12	Toulouse	3	1	0	2	-1	3
13	Troyes	4	1	0	3	-3	3
14	Auxerre	3	1	0	2	-3	3
15	Rennes	3	0	2	1	-1	2
16	Nantes	3	0	2	1	-1	2
17	Strasbourg	3	0	2	1	-1	2
18	Lyon	2	0	1	1	-2	1
19	Angers	3	0	1	2	-7	1
20	Ajaccio	3	0	0	3	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.