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Ligue 1

Referee: B Bastien

Paris SG

S S T U S

0–1

Full-time

Lyon

U S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Paris SG Lyon

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 75%

67%

83%

Points per game

2,2

2,7

Over 2.5 Ø 84%

100%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

3,8

3,0

Scored

2,8

2,3

Conceded

1,0

0,7

Goal diff per game

+1,8

+1,7

This season — Ligue 1 · 13/13 matches

Win Ø 62%

69%

54%

Points per game

2,2

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 62%

69%

54%

Both score Ø 50%

31%

69%

Average goals

3,2

2,7

Scored

2,5

1,8

Conceded

0,7

0,8

Goal diff per game

+1,8

+1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

64% Possession 36%

7 Shots 8

1 Shots on target 5

3 Blocked shots 3

4 Goalkeeper saves 1

5 Corners 5

2 Offside 3

11 Free kicks against 17

4 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Paris SG 2. · Lyon 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lille	14	8	5	1	+16	29
2	Paris SG	13	9	1	3	+24	28
3	Marseille	12	8	3	1	+9	27
4	Lyon	13	7	5	1	+13	26
5	Montpellier	14	8	2	4	+4	26
6	Monaco	14	7	2	5	+5	23
7	Angers	14	7	2	5	-2	23
8	Rennes	14	6	4	4	+2	22
9	Lens	13	6	3	4	+0	21
10	Brest	14	7	0	7	-2	21
11	Bordeaux	14	5	4	5	-1	19
12	Nice	13	5	3	5	+0	18
13	Metz	14	4	5	5	-1	17
14	Nantes	14	3	5	6	-8	14
15	St Etienne	14	3	4	7	-8	13
16	Strasbourg	14	3	2	9	-6	11
17	Lorient	14	3	2	9	-9	11
18	Nimes	14	3	2	9	-16	11
19	Reims	14	2	4	8	-7	10
20	Dijon	14	1	6	7	-13	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lille	8	6	2	0	+13	20
2	Monaco	7	5	2	0	+10	17
3	Brest	7	5	0	2	+3	15
4	Lyon	6	4	2	0	+10	14
5	Paris SG	6	4	1	1	+12	13
6	Bordeaux	7	3	3	1	+4	12
7	Montpellier	7	4	0	3	+0	12
8	Marseille	6	3	2	1	+3	11
9	Lens	7	3	2	2	+1	11
10	Metz	7	3	1	3	+0	10
11	Rennes	7	3	1	3	-1	10
12	Angers	7	3	1	3	-2	10
13	Nantes	7	2	3	2	-4	9
14	St Etienne	7	2	2	3	-2	8
15	Lorient	7	2	1	4	+0	7
16	Nice	7	2	1	4	-5	7
17	Strasbourg	7	1	2	4	-6	5
18	Dijon	7	0	4	3	-4	4
19	Reims	6	1	1	4	-5	4
20	Nimes	7	1	1	5	-9	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Marseille	6	5	1	0	+6	16
2	Paris SG	7	5	0	2	+12	15
3	Montpellier	7	4	2	1	+4	14
4	Angers	7	4	1	2	+0	13
5	Rennes	7	3	3	1	+3	12
6	Lyon	7	3	3	1	+3	12
7	Nice	6	3	2	1	+5	11
8	Lens	6	3	1	2	-1	10
9	Lille	6	2	3	1	+3	9
10	Metz	7	1	4	2	-1	7
11	Bordeaux	7	2	1	4	-5	7
12	Nimes	7	2	1	4	-7	7
13	Strasbourg	7	2	0	5	+0	6
14	Reims	8	1	3	4	-2	6
15	Brest	7	2	0	5	-5	6
16	Monaco	7	2	0	5	-5	6
17	Nantes	7	1	2	4	-4	5
18	St Etienne	7	1	2	4	-6	5
19	Dijon	7	1	2	4	-9	5
20	Lorient	7	1	1	5	-9	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.