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Ligue 1
Referee: F Letexier
Lille
U T T S T
1–2
Full-time
Monaco
S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lille Monaco
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
17%
100%
Points per game
0,8
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,0
3,2
Scored
0,7
2,3
Conceded
1,3
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+1,5
This season — Ligue 1 · 35/35 matches
Win Ø 44%
37%
51%
Points per game
1,5
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
49%
51%
Both score Ø 53%
57%
49%
Average goals
2,4
2,6
Scored
1,2
1,6
Conceded
1,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

51% Possession 49%
15 Shots 9
5 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
3 Corners 5
2 Offside 1
10 Free kicks against 8
4 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Lille 10. · Monaco 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 35 24 7 4 +45 79
2 Marseille 35 19 8 8 +20 65
3 Rennes 35 19 5 11 +41 62
4 Monaco 35 18 8 9 +22 62
5 Nice 35 18 7 10 +15 61
6 Strasbourg 35 15 12 8 +19 57
7 Lyon 35 15 11 9 +14 56
8 Lens 35 15 10 10 +11 55
9 Nantes 35 14 9 12 +7 51
10 Lille 35 13 12 10 -1 51
11 Brest 35 13 9 13 -3 48
12 Reims 35 10 13 12 +0 43
13 Montpellier 35 12 7 16 -5 43
14 Troyes 35 9 9 17 -14 36
15 Angers 35 8 11 16 -15 35
16 Lorient 35 8 10 17 -25 34
17 Clermont 35 8 9 18 -30 33
18 St Etienne 35 7 10 18 -32 31
19 Bordeaux 35 5 12 18 -38 27
20 Metz 35 4 13 18 -31 25

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Lille Monaco
Zeki Çelik 🟨
39′
42′
A. Tchouaméni 0–1
W. Ben Yedder
Half-time 0–1
José Fonte 🟨
50′
A. Gomes 🔁
↦ J. David
56′
E. Zhegrova 🔁
↦ G. Gudmundsson
56′
56′
🔁 I. Jakobs
↦ A. Golovin
66′
🟨 Wissam Ben Yedder
66′
🔁 M. Boadu
↦ W. Ben Yedder
1–1 A. Gomes
J. Bamba
69′
75′
A. Tchouaméni 1–2
Caio Henrique
81′
🔁 Jean Lucas
↦ K. Volland
Benjamin André 🟨
86′
D. Bradarić 🔁
↦ Tiago Djaló
87′
Jonathan Bamba 🟨
90′
I. Lihadji 🔁
↦ J. Bamba
92′
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Lille

4-4-2
30 Léo Jardim G
6 José Fonte D
2 Z. Çelik D
5 G. Gudmundsson M
3 Tiago Djaló D
4 S. Botman D
21 B. André M
24 A. Onana M
7 J. Bamba M
22 T. Weah F
9 J. David F
Bench (8)
20 A. Gomes
23 E. Zhegrova
29 D. Bradarić
19 I. Lihadji
1 I. Grbić
34 U. Raghouber
26 J. Pied
33 L. Yoro

Coach: J. Gourvennec

Monaco

4-2-3-1
16 A. Nübel G
26 R. Aguilar D
3 G. Maripán D
12 Caio Henrique D
5 B. Badiashile D
2 Vanderson M
17 A. Golovin M
8 A. Tchouaméni M
22 Y. Fofana M
31 K. Volland M
10 W. Ben Yedder F
Bench (9)
14 I. Jakobs
9 M. Boadu
11 Jean Lucas
19 D. Sidibé
30 V. Mannone
6 A. Disasi
33 M. Akliouche
36 E. Matazo
37 S. Diop

Coach: P. Clement

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,82
U
3,68
B ✓
1,97
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,80
U2,5
2,04
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

F Letexier · 176 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,25 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.