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Ligue 1

Referee: A Delerue

Paris SG

S S T S U

2–1

Full-time

Lille

S S S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Paris SG Lille

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

67%

50%

Points per game

2,2

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,2

2,0

Scored

1,3

1,2

Conceded

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+0,3

This season — Ligue 1 · 11/11 matches

Win Ø 59%

82%

36%

Points per game

2,5

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 60%

64%

55%

Both score Ø 60%

55%

64%

Average goals

3,1

2,7

Scored

2,2

1,3

Conceded

0,9

1,5

Goal diff per game

+1,3

-0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

60% Possession 40%

17 Shots 11

6 Shots on target 3

2 Blocked shots 3

2 Goalkeeper saves 4

4 Corners 5

0 Offside 4

7 Free kicks against 10

1 Yellow cards 5

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Paris SG 1. · Lille 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	11	9	1	1	+14	28
2	Nice	11	6	3	2	+13	21
3	Lens	11	6	3	2	+8	21
4	Marseille	11	5	4	2	+7	19
5	Rennes	11	5	3	3	+7	18
6	Angers	11	4	5	2	+4	17
7	Nantes	11	5	2	4	+4	17
8	Monaco	11	5	2	4	+3	17
9	Lyon	11	4	4	3	+2	16
10	Lille	11	4	3	4	-2	15
11	Lorient	11	3	6	2	-2	15
12	Strasbourg	11	4	2	5	+2	14
13	Montpellier	11	3	4	4	-1	13
14	Clermont	11	3	4	4	-8	13
15	Troyes	11	3	3	5	-4	12
16	Reims	11	2	5	4	-2	11
17	Bordeaux	11	1	6	4	-9	9
18	Brest	11	0	6	5	-8	6
19	Metz	11	1	3	7	-14	6
20	St Etienne	11	0	5	6	-14	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	5	5	0	0	+10	15
2	Rennes	6	4	1	1	+8	13
3	Lyon	6	3	3	0	+6	12
4	Nice	6	3	3	0	+6	12
5	Nantes	6	4	0	2	+4	12
6	Marseille	6	3	2	1	+6	11
7	Lens	6	3	2	1	+5	11
8	Montpellier	6	3	2	1	+4	11
9	Lorient	5	3	2	0	+3	11
10	Strasbourg	6	3	1	2	+6	10
11	Monaco	6	3	1	2	+3	10
12	Angers	5	3	1	1	+3	10
13	Lille	5	3	1	1	+0	10
14	Clermont	5	2	2	1	+1	8
15	Reims	5	1	2	2	-1	5
16	Troyes	5	1	2	2	-1	5
17	St Etienne	6	0	4	2	-4	4
18	Brest	5	0	3	2	-3	3
19	Bordeaux	5	0	3	2	-3	3
20	Metz	5	0	2	3	-6	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	6	4	1	1	+4	13
2	Lens	5	3	1	1	+3	10
3	Nice	5	3	0	2	+7	9
4	Marseille	5	2	2	1	+1	8
5	Angers	6	1	4	1	+1	7
6	Monaco	5	2	1	2	+0	7
7	Troyes	6	2	1	3	-3	7
8	Reims	6	1	3	2	-1	6
9	Bordeaux	6	1	3	2	-6	6
10	Nantes	5	1	2	2	+0	5
11	Rennes	5	1	2	2	-1	5
12	Lille	6	1	2	3	-2	5
13	Clermont	6	1	2	3	-9	5
14	Strasbourg	5	1	1	3	-4	4
15	Lyon	5	1	1	3	-4	4
16	Lorient	6	0	4	2	-5	4
17	Metz	6	1	1	4	-8	4
18	Brest	6	0	3	3	-5	3
19	Montpellier	5	0	2	3	-5	2
20	St Etienne	5	0	1	4	-10	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.