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Ligue 1

Referee: B Bastien

Paris SG

T S S T S

0–1

Full-time

Lille

S U S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Paris SG Lille

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,0

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

3,2

2,0

Scored

2,0

1,3

Conceded

1,2

0,7

Goal diff per game

+0,8

+0,7

This season — Ligue 1 · 30/30 matches

Win Ø 64%

67%

60%

Points per game

2,1

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

60%

40%

Both score Ø 39%

30%

47%

Average goals

2,9

2,3

Scored

2,2

1,7

Conceded

0,7

0,6

Goal diff per game

+1,5

+1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

65% Possession 35%

16 Shots 3

3 Shots on target 3

3 Blocked shots 0

2 Goalkeeper saves 3

5 Corners 0

0 Offside 2

18 Free kicks against 12

6 Yellow cards 4

1 Red cards 1

The table before the match Paris SG 1. · Lille 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	30	20	3	7	+46	63
2	Lille	30	18	9	3	+31	63
3	Monaco	31	19	5	7	+26	62
4	Lyon	30	17	9	4	+29	60
5	Lens	30	13	9	8	+4	48
6	Marseille	30	12	9	9	+2	45
7	Rennes	30	12	8	10	+4	44
8	Montpellier	30	12	8	10	-1	44
9	Metz	31	11	9	11	+0	42
10	Angers	30	11	7	12	-10	40
11	Nice	30	11	6	13	-2	39
12	Reims	30	9	11	10	+0	38
13	Bordeaux	30	10	6	14	-6	36
14	Brest	30	10	5	15	-10	35
15	Strasbourg	30	9	6	15	-7	33
16	St Etienne	30	8	9	13	-16	33
17	Lorient	30	7	8	15	-18	29
18	Nimes	30	8	5	17	-26	29
19	Nantes	30	5	13	12	-15	28
20	Dijon	30	2	9	19	-31	15

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Monaco	16	10	5	1	+19	35
2	Lille	16	9	5	2	+15	32
3	Paris SG	15	10	1	4	+25	31
4	Lyon	15	9	3	3	+15	30
5	Brest	15	8	2	5	+4	26
6	Marseille	15	7	4	4	+5	25
7	Montpellier	16	7	2	7	+0	23
8	Rennes	15	6	3	6	-2	21
9	Lens	14	5	5	4	+1	20
10	Lorient	15	6	2	7	-5	20
11	Metz	15	5	4	6	+0	19
12	Bordeaux	15	5	4	6	-2	19
13	Reims	14	4	6	4	-1	18
14	Angers	14	5	2	7	-5	17
15	Nice	15	5	2	8	-6	17
16	Strasbourg	15	4	4	7	-3	16
17	St Etienne	15	3	6	6	-11	15
18	Nantes	15	2	8	5	-8	14
19	Nimes	15	3	3	9	-12	12
20	Dijon	16	0	6	10	-17	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	15	10	2	3	+21	32
2	Lille	14	9	4	1	+16	31
3	Lyon	15	8	6	1	+14	30
4	Lens	16	8	4	4	+3	28
5	Monaco	15	9	0	6	+7	27
6	Rennes	15	6	5	4	+6	23
7	Metz	16	6	5	5	+0	23
8	Angers	16	6	5	5	-5	23
9	Nice	15	6	4	5	+4	22
10	Montpellier	14	5	6	3	-1	21
11	Reims	16	5	5	6	+1	20
12	Marseille	15	5	5	5	-3	20
13	St Etienne	15	5	3	7	-5	18
14	Strasbourg	15	5	2	8	-4	17
15	Bordeaux	15	5	2	8	-4	17
16	Nimes	15	5	2	8	-14	17
17	Nantes	15	3	5	7	-7	14
18	Lorient	15	1	6	8	-13	9
19	Dijon	14	2	3	9	-14	9
20	Brest	15	2	3	10	-14	9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.