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Ligue 1

Referee: A Gautier

Paris SG

S U U U S

5–0

Full-time

Metz

T T U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Paris SG Metz

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

2,0

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

83%

33%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

3,7

2,3

Scored

2,5

1,2

Conceded

1,2

Goal diff per game

+1,3

+0,0

This season — Ligue 1 · 37/37 matches

Win Ø 42%

68%

16%

Points per game

2,2

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 57%

65%

49%

Both score Ø 55%

59%

51%

Average goals

3,3

2,7

Scored

2,3

0,9

Conceded

1,0

1,7

Goal diff per game

+1,3

-0,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

75% Possession 25%

27 Shots 4

12 Shots on target 1

5 Blocked shots 1

1 Goalkeeper saves 6

4 Corners 2

2 Offside 2

7 Free kicks against 12

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Paris SG 1. · Metz 18. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	37	25	8	4	+49	83
2	Monaco	37	20	8	9	+25	68
3	Marseille	37	20	8	9	+21	68
4	Rennes	37	20	5	12	+42	65
5	Nice	37	19	7	11	+15	64
6	Strasbourg	37	17	12	8	+21	63
7	Lens	37	17	10	10	+14	61
8	Lyon	37	16	11	10	+14	59
9	Nantes	37	15	9	13	+7	54
10	Lille	37	14	12	11	+0	54
11	Brest	37	13	9	15	-6	48
12	Reims	37	11	13	13	+0	46
13	Montpellier	37	12	7	18	-10	43
14	Angers	37	9	11	17	-13	38
15	Troyes	37	9	10	18	-16	37
16	Clermont	37	9	9	19	-30	36
17	Lorient	37	8	11	18	-28	35
18	Metz	37	6	13	18	-29	31
19	St Etienne	37	7	10	20	-35	31
20	Bordeaux	37	5	13	19	-41	28

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	18	15	3	0	+32	48
2	Rennes	19	14	1	4	+37	43
3	Monaco	19	12	4	3	+22	40
4	Strasbourg	19	11	5	3	+18	38
5	Lyon	19	11	5	3	+17	38
6	Nantes	18	11	3	4	+13	36
7	Nice	19	10	4	5	+6	34
8	Lens	18	9	6	3	+15	33
9	Marseille	18	8	5	5	+7	29
10	Lille	18	7	7	4	+2	28
11	Montpellier	19	7	5	7	+1	26
12	Brest	18	7	4	7	+1	25
13	Angers	18	7	2	9	-2	23
14	Lorient	18	6	5	7	-2	23
15	Troyes	19	5	7	7	+0	22
16	Reims	18	5	6	7	+3	21
17	Clermont	18	4	6	8	-10	18
18	St Etienne	19	4	6	9	-14	18
19	Bordeaux	19	3	7	9	-8	16
20	Metz	19	3	7	9	-10	16

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Marseille	19	12	3	4	+14	39
2	Paris SG	19	10	5	4	+17	35
3	Nice	18	9	3	6	+9	30
4	Monaco	18	8	4	6	+3	28
5	Lens	19	8	4	7	-1	28
6	Lille	19	7	5	7	-2	26
7	Strasbourg	18	6	7	5	+3	25
8	Reims	19	6	7	6	-3	25
9	Brest	19	6	5	8	-7	23
10	Rennes	18	6	4	8	+5	22
11	Lyon	18	5	6	7	-3	21
12	Nantes	19	4	6	9	-6	18
13	Clermont	19	5	3	11	-20	18
14	Montpellier	18	5	2	11	-11	17
15	Angers	19	2	9	8	-11	15
16	Troyes	18	4	3	11	-16	15
17	Metz	18	3	6	9	-19	15
18	St Etienne	18	3	4	11	-21	13
19	Lorient	19	2	6	11	-26	12
20	Bordeaux	18	2	6	10	-33	12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.