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Ligue 1

Referee: W Delajod

Paris SG

U U S S S

5–2

Full-time

Montpellier

U T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Paris SG Montpellier

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

2,0

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 83%

83%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

4,3

4,2

Scored

3,3

1,3

Conceded

1,0

2,8

Goal diff per game

+2,3

-1,5

This season — Ligue 1 · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 100%

100%

Points per game

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 100%

100%

Both score Ø 50%

100%

Average goals

5,0

Scored

5,0

3,0

Conceded

0,0

2,0

Goal diff per game

+5,0

+1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

59% Possession 41%

20 Shots 7

10 Shots on target 4

3 Blocked shots 1

2 Goalkeeper saves 6

11 Corners 0

1 Offside 1

15 Free kicks against 18

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Paris SG 3. · Montpellier 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lille	2	1	1	0	+3	4
2	Monaco	2	1	1	0	+1	4
3	Paris SG	1	1	0	0	+5	3
4	Marseille	1	1	0	0	+3	3
5	Montpellier	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Lens	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Lyon	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Lorient	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Nantes	2	0	2	0	+0	2
10	Toulouse	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Nice	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Angers	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Rennes	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Troyes	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Brest	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Ajaccio	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Strasbourg	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Reims	1	0	0	1	-3	0
19	Auxerre	1	0	0	1	-3	0
20	Clermont	1	0	0	1	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Marseille	1	1	0	0	+3	3
2	Lille	1	1	0	0	+3	3
3	Montpellier	1	1	0	0	+1	3
4	Lens	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Lyon	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Monaco	1	0	1	0	+0	1
7	Toulouse	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Nantes	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Angers	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Strasbourg	1	0	0	1	-1	0
11	Rennes	1	0	0	1	-1	0
12	Clermont	1	0	0	1	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	1	1	0	0	+5	3
2	Monaco	1	1	0	0	+1	3
3	Lorient	1	1	0	0	+1	3
4	Rennes	1	0	1	0	+0	1
5	Nice	1	0	1	0	+0	1
6	Lille	1	0	1	0	+0	1
7	Nantes	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Troyes	1	0	0	1	-1	0
9	Brest	1	0	0	1	-1	0
10	Ajaccio	1	0	0	1	-1	0
11	Reims	1	0	0	1	-3	0
12	Auxerre	1	0	0	1	-3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.