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Serie A
Referee: V Marini
Inter
S S S T S
4–0
Full-time
Genoa
T T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Inter Genoa
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
83%
50%
Points per game
2,5
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
4,0
3,7
Scored
3,0
2,0
Conceded
1,0
1,7
Goal diff per game
+2,0
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

60% Possession 40%
17 Shots 11
8 Shots on target 5
3 Blocked shots 2
4 Goalkeeper saves 4
8 Corners 2
2 Offside 2
18 Free kicks against 7
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

28. Feb -21 Inter – Genoa 3–0 24. Oct -20 Genoa – Inter 0–2 25. Jul -20 Genoa – Inter 0–3 21. Dec -19 Inter – Genoa 4–0 3. Apr -19 Genoa – Inter 0–4

Match report

Inter Genoa
2′
🟨 Domenico Criscito
1–0 M. Škriniar ⚽
H. Çalhanoğlu
6′
2–0 H. Çalhanoğlu ⚽
E. Džeko
14′
Half-time 2–0
46′
🔁 S. Sabelli
↦ A. Cambiaso
46′
🔁 L. Serpe
↦ D. Biraschi
46′
🔁 F. Bianchi
↦ Hernani
54′
🔁 A. Favilli
↦ Y. Kallon
66′
🟨 Stefano Sturaro
A. Vidal 🔁
↦ S. Sensi
69′
F. Dimarco 🔁
↦ I. Perišić
69′
71′
🔁 F. Melegoni
↦ S. Sturaro
3–0 A. Vidal ⚽
N. Barella
74′
M. Vecino 🔁
↦ N. Barella
77′
M. Satriano 🔁
↦ H. Çalhanoğlu
77′
Matías Vecino 🟨
78′
D. Dumfries 🔁
↦ A. Bastoni
84′
4–0 E. Džeko ⚽
A. Vidal
87′
Full-time 4–0

Line-ups

Inter

3-5-1-1
1 S. Handanovič G
36 M. Darmian M
6 S. de Vrij D
37 M. Škriniar D
95 A. Bastoni D
14 I. Perišić M
77 M. Brozović M
20 H. Çalhanoğlu M
12 S. Sensi F
23 N. Barella M
9 E. Džeko F
Bench (12)
22 A. Vidal
32 F. Dimarco
8 M. Vecino
48 M. Satriano
2 D. Dumfries
99 A. Pinamonti
13 A. Ranocchia
21 A. Cordaz
18 L. Agoume
11 A. Kolarov
97 I. Radu
33 D. D'Ambrosio

Coach: S. Inzaghi

Genoa

3-4-1-2
57 S. Sirigu G
4 D. Criscito D
14 D. Biraschi D
3 Z. Vanheusden D
50 A. Cambiaso M
47 M. Badelj M
27 S. Sturaro M
33 Hernani F
65 N. Rovella M
19 G. Pandev F
91 Y. Kallon F
Bench (12)
2 S. Sabelli
66 L. Serpe
24 F. Bianchi
9 A. Favilli
10 F. Melegoni
90 M. Portanova
5 A. Masiello
44 A. Buksa
80 K. Agudelo
22 F. Marchetti
20 C. Ekuban
89 S. Ebongue

Coach: D. Ballardini

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,35
🔒
U
5,16
🔒
B
8,94
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
1,63
🔒
U2,5
2,28
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.