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Serie A

Referee: D Ghersini

Cagliari

U T T T S

2–1

Full-time

Bologna

S T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cagliari Bologna

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

0,8

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

2,5

Scored

0,5

1,3

Conceded

2,0

1,2

Goal diff per game

-1,5

+0,2

This season — Serie A · 20/19 matches

Win Ø 26%

10%

42%

Points per game

0,7

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

60%

58%

Both score Ø 54%

60%

47%

Average goals

3,0

3,1

Scored

1,0

1,4

Conceded

2,1

1,6

Goal diff per game

-1,1

-0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

53% Possession 47%

13 Shots 9

4 Shots on target 3

2 Blocked shots 3

2 Goalkeeper saves 2

5 Corners 5

3 Offside 1

12 Free kicks against 15

3 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Cagliari 18. · Bologna 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Inter	20	15	4	1	+35	49
2	Milan	21	15	3	3	+23	48
3	Napoli	21	13	4	4	+22	43
4	Atalanta	20	12	5	3	+18	41
5	Juventus	21	11	5	5	+11	38
6	Roma	21	10	2	9	+7	32
7	Fiorentina	20	10	2	8	+5	32
8	Lazio	21	9	5	7	+4	32
9	Torino	20	8	4	8	+8	28
10	Sassuolo	21	7	7	7	+3	28
11	Empoli	21	8	4	9	-8	28
12	Verona	21	7	6	8	+2	27
13	Bologna	19	8	3	8	-4	27
14	Udinese	19	4	8	7	-6	20
15	Sampdoria	21	5	5	11	-10	20
16	Spezia	21	5	4	12	-20	19
17	Venezia	20	4	5	11	-19	17
18	Cagliari	20	2	7	11	-22	13
19	Genoa	21	1	9	11	-19	12
20	Salernitana	19	3	2	14	-30	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Inter	10	8	2	0	+20	26
2	Torino	11	7	2	2	+13	23
3	Napoli	11	7	1	3	+11	22
4	Milan	10	7	1	2	+10	22
5	Lazio	10	6	3	1	+12	21
6	Roma	11	6	2	3	+4	20
7	Fiorentina	9	6	1	2	+11	19
8	Verona	11	5	2	4	+5	17
9	Juventus	10	5	2	3	+4	17
10	Bologna	10	5	1	4	+2	16
11	Sassuolo	11	3	4	4	-2	13
12	Atalanta	9	3	3	3	+3	12
13	Udinese	10	2	5	3	-5	11
14	Empoli	11	3	1	7	-12	10
15	Spezia	10	2	3	5	-3	9
16	Sampdoria	11	2	3	6	-8	9
17	Venezia	10	2	2	6	-8	8
18	Cagliari	10	1	4	5	-7	7
19	Genoa	10	0	4	6	-10	4
20	Salernitana	9	1	1	7	-16	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Atalanta	11	9	2	0	+15	29
2	Milan	11	8	2	1	+13	26
3	Inter	10	7	2	1	+15	23
4	Napoli	10	6	3	1	+11	21
5	Juventus	11	6	3	2	+7	21
6	Empoli	10	5	3	2	+4	18
7	Sassuolo	10	4	3	3	+5	15
8	Fiorentina	11	4	1	6	-6	13
9	Roma	10	4	0	6	+3	12
10	Sampdoria	10	3	2	5	-2	11
11	Bologna	9	3	2	4	-6	11
12	Lazio	11	3	2	6	-8	11
13	Verona	10	2	4	4	-3	10
14	Spezia	11	3	1	7	-17	10
15	Udinese	9	2	3	4	-1	9
16	Venezia	10	2	3	5	-11	9
17	Genoa	11	1	5	5	-9	8
18	Salernitana	10	2	1	7	-14	7
19	Cagliari	10	1	3	6	-15	6
20	Torino	9	1	2	6	-5	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.