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Serie A

Referee: M Fabbri

Bologna

T S T T T

3–2

Full-time

Cagliari

U T T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bologna Cagliari

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

0,7

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

3,3

4,2

Scored

1,5

1,7

Conceded

1,8

2,5

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-0,8

This season — Serie A · 5/5 matches

Win Ø 30%

20%

40%

Points per game

0,6

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 60%

60%

Both score Ø 70%

60%

80%

Average goals

3,6

4,4

Scored

1,6

2,0

Conceded

2,0

2,4

Goal diff per game

-0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

52% Possession 48%

16 Shots 6

11 Shots on target 4

7 Blocked shots 2

1 Goalkeeper saves 6

7 Corners 3

2 Offside 2

12 Free kicks against 19

3 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Bologna 17. · Cagliari 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Milan	5	4	1	0	+8	13
2	Napoli	4	4	0	0	+12	12
3	Atalanta	6	4	0	2	+4	12
4	Sassuolo	5	3	2	0	+7	11
5	Inter	6	3	2	1	+5	11
6	Sampdoria	5	3	0	2	+2	9
7	Verona	5	2	2	1	+3	8
8	Roma	5	2	2	1	+1	8
9	Fiorentina	5	2	1	2	+0	7
10	Cagliari	5	2	1	2	-2	7
11	Lazio	5	2	1	2	-3	7
12	Juventus	4	1	3	0	+3	6
13	Benevento	5	2	0	3	-5	6
14	Spezia	5	1	2	2	-4	5
15	Parma	6	1	2	3	-5	5
16	Genoa	4	1	1	2	-5	4
17	Bologna	5	1	0	4	-2	3
18	Udinese	5	1	0	4	-4	3
19	Torino	4	0	1	3	-4	1
20	Crotone	6	0	1	5	-11	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Milan	3	2	1	0	+5	7
2	Verona	3	2	1	0	+4	7
3	Napoli	2	2	0	0	+9	6
4	Fiorentina	3	2	0	1	+1	6
5	Sassuolo	3	1	2	0	+3	5
6	Roma	2	1	1	0	+3	4
7	Juventus	2	1	1	0	+3	4
8	Inter	3	1	1	1	+0	4
9	Parma	3	1	1	1	-1	4
10	Lazio	3	1	1	1	-2	4
11	Bologna	2	1	0	1	+2	3
12	Sampdoria	2	1	0	1	+2	3
13	Atalanta	2	1	0	1	+1	3
14	Genoa	2	1	0	1	+1	3
15	Cagliari	2	1	0	1	+0	3
16	Udinese	3	1	0	2	-2	3
17	Benevento	3	1	0	2	-3	3
18	Spezia	2	0	1	1	-3	1
19	Crotone	3	0	1	2	-3	1
20	Torino	2	0	0	2	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Atalanta	4	3	0	1	+3	9
2	Inter	3	2	1	0	+5	7
3	Sassuolo	2	2	0	0	+4	6
4	Napoli	2	2	0	0	+3	6
5	Milan	2	2	0	0	+3	6
6	Sampdoria	3	2	0	1	+0	6
7	Spezia	3	1	1	1	-1	4
8	Cagliari	3	1	1	1	-2	4
9	Roma	3	1	1	1	-2	4
10	Lazio	2	1	0	1	-1	3
11	Benevento	2	1	0	1	-2	3
12	Juventus	2	0	2	0	+0	2
13	Fiorentina	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Torino	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Verona	2	0	1	1	-1	1
16	Parma	3	0	1	2	-4	1
17	Genoa	2	0	1	1	-6	1
18	Udinese	2	0	0	2	-2	0
19	Bologna	3	0	0	3	-4	0
20	Crotone	3	0	0	3	-8	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.