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Serie A

Referee: M Fabbri

Cagliari

U U S S U

0–2

Full-time

Inter

S S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cagliari Inter

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

50%

67%

Points per game

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

1,8

2,7

Scored

1,2

1,5

Conceded

0,7

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Serie A · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 50%

100%

Points per game

1,0

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 0%

Both score Ø 0%

Average goals

0,0

2,0

Scored

0,0

2,0

Conceded

0,0

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+2,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

0,66 xG 0,92

33% Possession 67%

12 Shots 17

2 Shots on target 3

6 Blocked shots 5

1 Goalkeeper saves 2

4 Corners 7

1 Offside 2

9 Free kicks against 10

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Cagliari 13. · Inter 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Milan	2	2	0	0	+5	+2.4	6
2	Napoli	2	2	0	0	+4	+4.0	6
3	Verona	2	2	0	0	+2	-1.0	6
4	Fiorentina	2	1	1	0	+3	+1.9	4
5	Juventus	2	1	1	0	+3	+1.2	4
6	Lecce	2	1	1	0	+1	-1.2	4
7	Inter	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.9	3
8	Atalanta	2	1	0	1	+1	+1.8	3
9	Monza	2	1	0	1	+0	-0.9	3
10	Frosinone	2	1	0	1	-1	-1.5	3
11	Genoa	2	1	0	1	-2	-1.7	3
12	Salernitana	2	0	2	0	+0	-2.1	2
13	Cagliari	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.6	1
14	Roma	2	0	1	1	-1	+2.6	1
15	Bologna	2	0	1	1	-2	-0.2	1
16	Udinese	2	0	1	1	-3	-0.6	1
17	Torino	2	0	1	1	-3	-2.0	1
18	Lazio	2	0	0	2	-2	+1.0	0
19	Empoli	2	0	0	2	-3	-0.8	0
20	Sassuolo	2	0	0	2	-4	-4.2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Milan	1	1	0	0	+3	+2.6	3
2	Napoli	1	1	0	0	+2	+3.4	3
3	Inter	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.9	3
4	Monza	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.0	3
5	Verona	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.8	3
6	Lecce	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.1	3
7	Frosinone	2	1	0	1	-1	-1.5	3
8	Fiorentina	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.1	1
9	Roma	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.8	1
10	Juventus	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.3	1
11	Salernitana	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.3	1
12	Torino	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.6	1
13	Lazio	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.9	0
14	Empoli	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.2	0
15	Sassuolo	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.9	0
16	Bologna	1	0	0	1	-2	+0.2	0
17	Genoa	1	0	0	1	-3	-0.8	0
18	Udinese	1	0	0	1	-3	-0.9	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Fiorentina	1	1	0	0	+3	+0.8	3
2	Juventus	1	1	0	0	+3	+0.9	3
3	Napoli	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.6	3
4	Milan	1	1	0	0	+2	-0.2	3
5	Atalanta	2	1	0	1	+1	+1.8	3
6	Genoa	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.9	3
7	Verona	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.2	3
8	Lecce	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.1	1
9	Salernitana	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.8	1
10	Bologna	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.3	1
11	Udinese	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.3	1
12	Cagliari	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.6	1
13	Roma	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.8	0
14	Lazio	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.1	0
15	Sassuolo	1	0	0	1	-2	-3.4	0
16	Monza	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.9	0
17	Empoli	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.0	0
18	Torino	1	0	0	1	-3	-2.6	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.