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Coppa Italia

Referee: A Prontera

Empoli

S U S U T

1–2

Full-time

Cittadella

T U S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Empoli Cittadella

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

1,8

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

50%

17%

Both score Ø 75%

83%

67%

Average goals

3,0

1,8

Scored

1,8

1,0

Conceded

1,2

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,7

+0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Reggiana	1	1	0	0	+4	3
2	Udinese	1	1	0	0	+3	3
3	Bologna	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Genoa	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	FeralpiSalo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Frosinone	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Catanzaro	2	1	0	1	-2	3
8	Virtus Entella	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Cesena	2	0	1	1	-2	1
10	Modena	1	0	0	1	-1	0
11	Vicenza	1	0	0	1	-1	0
12	Pisa	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	Foggia	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Pescara	1	0	0	1	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	+/−	P
1	Reggiana	1	1	0	+4	3
2	Udinese	1	1	0	+3	3
3	Bologna	1	1	0	+2	3
4	Genoa	1	1	0	+1	3
5	FeralpiSalo	1	1	0	+1	3
6	Frosinone	1	1	0	+1	3
7	Catanzaro	1	1	0	+1	3
8	Cesena	1	0	1	+0	1

#	Team	K	U	T	+/−	P
1	Virtus Entella	1	1	0	+0	1
2	Modena	1	0	1	-1	0
3	Vicenza	1	0	1	-1	0
4	Pisa	1	0	1	-1	0
5	Foggia	1	0	1	-1	0
6	Cesena	1	0	1	-2	0
7	Catanzaro	1	0	1	-3	0
8	Pescara	1	0	1	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.