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Serie A

Referee: M Mariani

Udinese

S S T U S

1–0

Full-time

Fiorentina

S S U U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Udinese Fiorentina

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,7

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

83%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

3,5

1,7

Scored

2,0

1,2

Conceded

1,5

0,5

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+0,7

This season — Serie A · 3/3 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,3

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

3,0

1,7

Scored

1,3

1,0

Conceded

1,7

0,7

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

26% Possession 74%

8 Shots 12

3 Shots on target 2

2 Blocked shots 5

2 Goalkeeper saves 2

3 Corners 7

5 Offside 0

13 Free kicks against 9

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Udinese 12. · Fiorentina 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Roma	4	3	1	0	+5	10
2	Inter	4	3	0	1	+4	9
3	Milan	4	2	2	0	+4	8
4	Napoli	3	2	1	0	+7	7
5	Lazio	3	2	1	0	+3	7
6	Atalanta	3	2	1	0	+3	7
7	Torino	3	2	1	0	+2	7
8	Juventus	3	1	2	0	+3	5
9	Fiorentina	3	1	2	0	+1	5
10	Sassuolo	4	1	2	1	-2	5
11	Salernitana	3	1	1	1	+3	4
12	Udinese	3	1	1	1	-1	4
13	Spezia	3	1	1	1	-2	4
14	Empoli	3	0	2	1	-1	2
15	Lecce	3	0	1	2	-2	1
16	Bologna	3	0	1	2	-3	1
17	Verona	3	0	1	2	-4	1
18	Sampdoria	3	0	1	2	-6	1
19	Cremonese	4	0	0	4	-5	0
20	Monza	4	0	0	4	-9	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Inter	2	2	0	0	+5	6
2	Milan	2	2	0	0	+4	6
3	Roma	2	2	0	0	+4	6
4	Lazio	2	2	0	0	+3	6
5	Juventus	2	1	1	0	+3	4
6	Fiorentina	2	1	1	0	+1	4
7	Spezia	2	1	1	0	+1	4
8	Sassuolo	2	1	1	0	+1	4
9	Napoli	1	1	0	0	+4	3
10	Salernitana	2	1	0	1	+3	3
11	Atalanta	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Bologna	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Udinese	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Torino	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Empoli	1	0	1	0	+0	1
16	Lecce	2	0	1	1	-1	1
17	Sampdoria	2	0	1	1	-2	1
18	Cremonese	1	0	0	1	-1	0
19	Monza	2	0	0	2	-2	0
20	Verona	2	0	0	2	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Atalanta	2	2	0	0	+3	6
2	Torino	2	2	0	0	+2	6
3	Napoli	2	1	1	0	+3	4
4	Roma	2	1	1	0	+1	4
5	Udinese	2	1	0	1	-1	3
6	Inter	2	1	0	1	-1	3
7	Milan	2	0	2	0	+0	2
8	Verona	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Salernitana	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Juventus	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Lazio	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Fiorentina	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Empoli	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Sassuolo	2	0	1	1	-3	1
15	Lecce	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Bologna	2	0	0	2	-3	0
17	Spezia	1	0	0	1	-3	0
18	Cremonese	3	0	0	3	-4	0
19	Sampdoria	1	0	0	1	-4	0
20	Monza	2	0	0	2	-7	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.