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Serie A
Referee: D Chiffi
Udinese
S S T U S
1–2
Full-time
Inter
S S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Udinese Inter
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
67%
67%
Points per game
2,2
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,8
2,7
Scored
2,8
1,8
Conceded
1,0
0,8
Goal diff per game
+1,8
+1,0
This season — Serie A · 34/34 matches
Win Ø 46%
29%
62%
Points per game
1,3
2,1
Over 2.5 Ø 55%
53%
56%
Both score Ø 58%
59%
56%
Average goals
3,1
2,9
Scored
1,6
2,1
Conceded
1,5
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+1,3
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

48% Possession 52%
7 Shots 12
3 Shots on target 5
1 Blocked shots 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 11
1 Offside 2
12 Free kicks against 10
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Udinese 12. · Inter 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Milan 35 23 8 4 +31 77
2 Inter 34 21 9 4 +44 72
3 Napoli 35 21 7 7 +36 70
4 Juventus 35 20 9 6 +23 69
5 Lazio 35 17 8 10 +17 59
6 Roma 34 17 7 10 +15 58
7 Fiorentina 35 17 5 13 +7 56
8 Atalanta 34 15 10 9 +18 55
9 Verona 35 14 10 11 +9 52
10 Torino 35 12 11 12 +8 47
11 Sassuolo 35 12 10 13 -1 46
12 Udinese 34 10 13 11 +1 43
13 Bologna 34 11 9 14 -9 42
14 Empoli 35 9 10 16 -19 37
15 Sampdoria 35 9 6 20 -15 33
16 Spezia 35 9 6 20 -26 33
17 Cagliari 35 6 10 19 -32 28
18 Genoa 35 3 16 16 -30 25
19 Salernitana 33 6 7 20 -42 25
20 Venezia 34 5 7 22 -35 22

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Udinese Inter
12′
I. Perišić 0–1
F. Dimarco
I. Pussetto 🔁
↦ I. Success
27′
Pablo Marí 🟨
38′
38′
ℹ️ Edin Džeko
VAR: Penalty awarded
39′
L. Martínez 0–2
Half-time 0–2
L. Samardžić 🔁
↦ T. Arslan
46′
Roberto Pereyra 🟨
65′
1–2 I. Pussetto
D. Udogie
72′
B. Soppy 🔁
↦ N. Molina
73′
74′
🔁 A. Sánchez
↦ L. Martínez
74′
🔁 J. Correa
↦ E. Džeko
74′
🔁 A. Vidal
↦ R. Gagliardini
77′
🔁 D. D'Ambrosio
↦ F. Dimarco
M. Jajalo 🔁
↦ R. Pereyra
79′
90′
🔁 M. Vecino
↦ N. Barella
91′
🟨 Matías Vecino
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Udinese

3-5-2
1 M. Silvestri G
22 Pablo Marí D
50 Rodrigo Becão D
16 N. Molina M
2 N. Pérez D
13 D. Udogie M
37 R. Pereyra M
5 T. Arslan M
11 Walace M
10 Deulofeu F
7 I. Success F
Bench (11)
23 I. Pussetto
24 L. Samardžić
93 B. Soppy
8 M. Jajalo
25 M. Ballarini
28 F. Benković
30 I. Nestorovski
17 B. Nuytinck
4 M. Zeegelaar
20 D. Padelli
31 M. Gasparini

Coach: G. Cioffi

Inter

3-5-2
1 S. Handanovič G
36 M. Darmian M
6 S. de Vrij D
37 M. Škriniar D
32 F. Dimarco D
14 I. Perišić M
77 M. Brozović M
5 R. Gagliardini M
23 N. Barella M
9 E. Džeko F
10 L. Martínez F
Bench (11)
7 A. Sánchez
19 J. Correa
22 A. Vidal
33 D. D'Ambrosio
8 M. Vecino
2 D. Dumfries
18 R. Gosens
88 F. Caicedo
13 A. Ranocchia
21 A. Cordaz
97 I. Radu

Coach: S. Inzaghi

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
5,99
U
4,30
B ✓
1,56
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,65
U2,5
2,26
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

D Chiffi · 119 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.