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Serie A

Referee: D Doveri

Fiorentina

S U U U T

1–1

Full-time

Juventus

T S U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Fiorentina Juventus

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

1,5

2,2

Scored

0,8

1,3

Conceded

0,7

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+0,5

This season — Serie A · 4/4 matches

Win Ø 38%

25%

50%

Points per game

1,3

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

25%

Both score Ø 25%

25%

Average goals

1,5

1,8

Scored

0,8

1,5

Conceded

0,8

0,3

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+1,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

60% Possession 40%

17 Shots 4

5 Shots on target 1

6 Blocked shots 1

0 Goalkeeper saves 4

10 Corners 2

0 Offside 1

13 Free kicks against 12

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Fiorentina 11. · Juventus 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Atalanta	4	3	1	0	+5	10
2	Roma	4	3	1	0	+5	10
3	Inter	4	3	0	1	+4	9
4	Napoli	4	2	2	0	+7	8
5	Juventus	4	2	2	0	+5	8
6	Milan	4	2	2	0	+4	8
7	Lazio	4	2	2	0	+3	8
8	Udinese	4	2	1	1	+0	7
9	Torino	4	2	1	1	+0	7
10	Salernitana	4	1	2	1	+3	5
11	Fiorentina	4	1	2	1	+0	5
12	Sassuolo	4	1	2	1	-2	5
13	Spezia	4	1	1	2	-4	4
14	Empoli	4	0	3	1	-1	3
15	Lecce	4	0	2	2	-2	2
16	Bologna	4	0	2	2	-3	2
17	Verona	4	0	2	2	-4	2
18	Sampdoria	4	0	2	2	-6	2
19	Cremonese	4	0	0	4	-5	0
20	Monza	4	0	0	4	-9	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	3	2	1	0	+5	7
2	Inter	2	2	0	0	+5	6
3	Milan	2	2	0	0	+4	6
4	Roma	2	2	0	0	+4	6
5	Lazio	2	2	0	0	+3	6
6	Napoli	2	1	1	0	+4	4
7	Atalanta	2	1	1	0	+2	4
8	Fiorentina	2	1	1	0	+1	4
9	Spezia	2	1	1	0	+1	4
10	Udinese	2	1	1	0	+1	4
11	Sassuolo	2	1	1	0	+1	4
12	Salernitana	2	1	0	1	+3	3
13	Bologna	2	0	2	0	+0	2
14	Empoli	2	0	2	0	+0	2
15	Sampdoria	3	0	2	1	-2	2
16	Torino	1	0	1	0	+0	1
17	Lecce	2	0	1	1	-1	1
18	Cremonese	1	0	0	1	-1	0
19	Monza	2	0	0	2	-2	0
20	Verona	2	0	0	2	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Atalanta	2	2	0	0	+3	6
2	Torino	3	2	0	1	+0	6
3	Napoli	2	1	1	0	+3	4
4	Roma	2	1	1	0	+1	4
5	Udinese	2	1	0	1	-1	3
6	Inter	2	1	0	1	-1	3
7	Verona	2	0	2	0	+0	2
8	Salernitana	2	0	2	0	+0	2
9	Lazio	2	0	2	0	+0	2
10	Milan	2	0	2	0	+0	2
11	Juventus	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Lecce	2	0	1	1	-1	1
13	Empoli	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Fiorentina	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Sassuolo	2	0	1	1	-3	1
16	Bologna	2	0	0	2	-3	0
17	Cremonese	3	0	0	3	-4	0
18	Sampdoria	1	0	0	1	-4	0
19	Spezia	2	0	0	2	-5	0
20	Monza	2	0	0	2	-7	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.