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Serie A

Referee: S Sozza

Lazio

U S U S U

1–2

Full-time

Napoli

S S S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lazio Napoli

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

33%

67%

Points per game

1,7

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 58%

83%

33%

Average goals

3,2

Scored

1,8

2,7

Conceded

1,3

0,5

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+2,2

This season — Serie A · 4/4 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 63%

75%

50%

Average goals

2,3

3,3

Scored

1,5

2,5

Conceded

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,8

+1,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

39% Possession 61%

8 Shots 19

2 Shots on target 7

1 Blocked shots 6

5 Goalkeeper saves 1

6 Corners 8

0 Offside 1

12 Free kicks against 14

4 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Lazio 7. · Napoli 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Milan	5	3	2	0	+5	11
2	Atalanta	4	3	1	0	+5	10
3	Roma	4	3	1	0	+5	10
4	Juventus	5	2	3	0	+5	9
5	Inter	5	3	0	2	+3	9
6	Napoli	4	2	2	0	+7	8
7	Lazio	4	2	2	0	+3	8
8	Udinese	4	2	1	1	+0	7
9	Torino	4	2	1	1	+0	7
10	Fiorentina	5	1	3	1	+0	6
11	Salernitana	4	1	2	1	+3	5
12	Sassuolo	4	1	2	1	-2	5
13	Spezia	4	1	1	2	-4	4
14	Empoli	4	0	3	1	-1	3
15	Lecce	4	0	2	2	-2	2
16	Bologna	4	0	2	2	-3	2
17	Verona	4	0	2	2	-4	2
18	Sampdoria	4	0	2	2	-6	2
19	Cremonese	4	0	0	4	-5	0
20	Monza	4	0	0	4	-9	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Milan	3	3	0	0	+5	9
2	Juventus	3	2	1	0	+5	7
3	Inter	2	2	0	0	+5	6
4	Roma	2	2	0	0	+4	6
5	Lazio	2	2	0	0	+3	6
6	Fiorentina	3	1	2	0	+1	5
7	Napoli	2	1	1	0	+4	4
8	Atalanta	2	1	1	0	+2	4
9	Spezia	2	1	1	0	+1	4
10	Udinese	2	1	1	0	+1	4
11	Sassuolo	2	1	1	0	+1	4
12	Salernitana	2	1	0	1	+3	3
13	Bologna	2	0	2	0	+0	2
14	Empoli	2	0	2	0	+0	2
15	Sampdoria	3	0	2	1	-2	2
16	Torino	1	0	1	0	+0	1
17	Lecce	2	0	1	1	-1	1
18	Cremonese	1	0	0	1	-1	0
19	Monza	2	0	0	2	-2	0
20	Verona	2	0	0	2	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Atalanta	2	2	0	0	+3	6
2	Torino	3	2	0	1	+0	6
3	Napoli	2	1	1	0	+3	4
4	Roma	2	1	1	0	+1	4
5	Udinese	2	1	0	1	-1	3
6	Inter	3	1	0	2	-2	3
7	Verona	2	0	2	0	+0	2
8	Juventus	2	0	2	0	+0	2
9	Salernitana	2	0	2	0	+0	2
10	Lazio	2	0	2	0	+0	2
11	Milan	2	0	2	0	+0	2
12	Lecce	2	0	1	1	-1	1
13	Empoli	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Fiorentina	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Sassuolo	2	0	1	1	-3	1
16	Bologna	2	0	0	2	-3	0
17	Cremonese	3	0	0	3	-4	0
18	Sampdoria	1	0	0	1	-4	0
19	Spezia	2	0	0	2	-5	0
20	Monza	2	0	0	2	-7	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.