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Bundesliga
Referee: H Lechner
Salzburg
T S S S S
2–0
Full-time
Tirol
S U T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Salzburg Tirol
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
83%
33%
Points per game
2,5
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
67%
100%
Both score Ø 67%
33%
100%
Average goals
3,2
3,3
Scored
2,7
1,5
Conceded
0,5
1,8
Goal diff per game
+2,2
-0,3
This season — Bundesliga · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
83%
33%
Points per game
2,5
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
67%
100%
Both score Ø 67%
33%
100%
Average goals
3,2
3,3
Scored
2,7
1,5
Conceded
0,5
1,8
Goal diff per game
+2,2
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

66% Possession 34%
21 Shots 7
11 Shots on target 1
2 Blocked shots 4
1 Goalkeeper saves 8
7 Corners 1
3 Offside 0
11 Free kicks against 14
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Salzburg 2. · Tirol 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 LASK 6 5 1 0 +11 16
2 Salzburg 6 5 0 1 +13 15
3 Sturm Graz 6 3 2 1 +5 11
4 A. Lustenau 6 3 1 2 -2 10
5 Austria Vienna 6 2 2 2 -2 8
6 SK Rapid 5 2 1 2 +0 7
7 Tirol 6 2 1 3 -2 7
8 Hartberg 5 2 0 3 -3 6
9 Wolfsberger AC 6 1 2 3 -4 5
10 A. Klagenfurt 6 1 2 3 -4 5
11 Ried 6 1 1 4 -4 4
12 Altach 6 1 1 4 -8 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Salzburg Tirol
1–0 N. Okafor
Fernando
13′
29′
🟨 Kofi Schulz
Half-time 1–0
Andreas Ulmer 🟨
48′
L. Gourna-Douath 🔁
↦ D. Kameri
60′
60′
🔁 T. Sabitzer
↦ T. Prica
60′
🔁 A. Ranacher
↦ K. Schulz
B. Šeško 🔁
↦ N. Oka
61′
J. Adamu 🔁
↦ Fernando
61′
Y. Diarra 🔁
↦ N. Seiwald
61′
Amar Dedić 🟨
67′
77′
🔁 L. Rinaldi
↦ V. Müller
2–0 Y. Diarra
79′
S. Pavlović 🔁
↦ M. Wöber
83′
85′
🟨 Lautaro Rinaldi
93′
🟨 Žan Rogelj
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Salzburg

4-3-1-2
18 P. Köhn G
70 A. Dedić D
22 O. Solet D
39 M. Wöber D
17 A. Ulmer D
7 N. Capaldo M
13 N. Seiwald M
14 M. Kjærgaard M
8 D. Kameri M
77 N. Okafor F
11 Fernando F
Bench (7)
27 L. Gourna-Douath
30 B. Šeško
9 J. Adamu
24 Y. Diarra
31 S. Pavlović
1 N. Mantl
95 Bernardo

Coach: M. Jaissle

Tirol

3-5-1-1
25 F. Oswald G
5 F. Bacher D
30 R. Behounek D
16 O. Okungbowa D
6 L. Sulzbacher M
10 B. Blume M
4 V. Müller M
18 D. Tomic M
44 K. Schulz M
21 Ž. Rogelj F
33 T. Prica F
Bench (7)
7 T. Sabitzer
14 A. Ranacher
11 L. Rinaldi
19 J. Forst
17 J. Naschberger
26 D. Štumberger
13 B. Ozegovic

Coach: T. Silberberger

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

H Lechner · 116 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.