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Eredivisie
Referee: J Kooij
Ajax
U S S S S
4–0
Full-time
Cambuur
S T U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ajax Cambuur
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
83%
33%
Points per game
2,7
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
4,0
2,5
Scored
3,2
1,3
Conceded
0,8
1,2
Goal diff per game
+2,3
+0,2
This season — Eredivisie · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 63%
100%
25%
Points per game
3,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 38%
50%
25%
Both score Ø 38%
50%
25%
Average goals
3,8
2,0
Scored
3,0
1,0
Conceded
0,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
+2,3
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

74% Possession 26%
22 Shots 5
8 Shots on target 3
5 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
9 Corners 1
1 Offside 0
7 Free kicks against 7
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Ajax 2. · Cambuur 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 PSV Eindhoven 4 4 0 0 +17 12
2 Ajax 4 4 0 0 +9 12
3 Feyenoord 4 3 1 0 +8 10
4 AZ Alkmaar 4 3 1 0 +4 10
5 Twente 4 3 0 1 +7 9
6 Heerenveen 4 2 2 0 +5 8
7 Excelsior 4 2 0 2 -5 6
8 Nijmegen 4 1 2 1 +2 5
9 Utrecht 5 1 2 2 -2 5
10 Groningen 4 1 2 1 -4 5
11 Cambuur 4 1 1 2 +0 4
12 Sparta Rotterdam 4 1 1 2 -1 4
13 FC Emmen 4 1 1 2 -6 4
14 Volendam 4 1 1 2 -8 4
15 Waalwijk 4 0 3 1 -1 3
16 Vitesse 4 0 1 3 -9 1
17 Go Ahead Eagles 4 0 0 4 -7 0
18 For Sittard 5 0 0 5 -9 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Ajax Cambuur
1–0 S. Bergwijn
35′
2–0 S. Bergwijn
D. Klaassen
40′
Edson Álvarez 🟨
44′
44′
🟨 Remco Balk
44′
🟨 Mitchell Paulissen
Half-time 2–0
K. Taylor 🔁
↦ E. Álvarez
46′
M. Kudus 🔁
↦ B. Brobbey
46′
46′
🔁 F. Mambimbi
↦ R. Balk
3–0 D. Rensch
K. Taylor
53′
58′
🔁 D. Schmidt
↦ S. van Wermeskerken
Francisco Conceição 🔁
↦ S. Bergwijn
61′
4–0 M. Kudus
C. Bassey
64′
66′
🔁 S. van der Water
↦ J. ter Heide
66′
🔁 T. Boere
↦ R. Uldriķis
J. Sánchez 🔁
↦ J. Timber
79′
L. Ocampos 🔁
↦ D. Tadić
80′
87′
🔁 D. Sambissa
↦ M. Breij
Full-time 4–0

Line-ups

Ajax

4-3-3
22 R. Pasveer G
15 D. Rensch D
2 J. Timber D
3 C. Bassey D
17 D. Blind D
6 D. Klaassen M
4 E. Álvarez M
23 S. Berghuis M
10 D. Tadić F
9 B. Brobbey F
7 S. Bergwijn F
Bench (12)
8 K. Taylor
20 M. Kudus
35 Francisco Conceição
19 J. Sánchez
11 L. Ocampos
18 L. Lucca
29 L. Magallán
16 J. Gorter
1 M. Stekelenburg
13 A. Kaplan
21 F. Grillitsch
25 Y. Baas

Coach: A. Schreuder

Cambuur

4-2-3-1
1 João Virgínia G
24 S. van Wermeskerken D
15 M. Tol D
33 F. Smand D
16 A. Bangura D
21 D. van Kaam M
2 J. ter Heide M
14 M. Breij M
10 M. Paulissen M
30 R. Balk M
28 R. Uldriķis F
Bench (10)
7 F. Mambimbi
5 D. Schmidt
11 S. van der Water
9 T. Boere
18 D. Sambissa
31 B. Minnema
3 C. Mac-Intosch
39 M. Smit
27 S. Sylla
12 R. Ruiter

Coach: H. de Jong

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,10
U
10,66
B
21,40
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,17
U2,5
4,72
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

J Kooij · 92 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.