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Pro League
Referee: B Staessens
Mechelen
S U S T T
2–3
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Mechelen Seraing United
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,2
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
4,0
2,7
Scored
2,0
0,7
Conceded
2,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-1,3
This season — Pro League · 7/6 matches
Win Ø 23%
29%
17%
Points per game
1,0
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 61%
71%
50%
Both score Ø 45%
57%
33%
Average goals
3,7
2,7
Scored
1,7
0,7
Conceded
2,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-1,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

68% Possession 32%
9 Shots 6
4 Shots on target 2
0 Blocked shots 1
0 Goalkeeper saves 2
9 Corners 3
1 Offside 1
14 Free kicks against 16
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Mechelen 11. · Seraing United 18.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Genk 7 6 1 0 +16 19
2 Antwerp 5 5 0 0 +7 15
3 Club Brugge 6 4 1 1 +9 13
4 Anderlecht 7 4 0 3 +6 12
5 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 6 4 0 2 +2 12
6 Charleroi 7 4 0 3 +1 12
7 St Truiden 7 2 4 1 +0 10
8 St. Gilloise 5 3 1 1 +0 10
9 Waregem 7 2 2 3 -2 8
10 Gent 4 2 1 1 +2 7
11 Mechelen 7 2 1 4 -2 7
12 Kortrijk 7 2 1 4 -3 7
13 Oostende 6 2 0 4 -3 6
14 Eupen 7 2 0 5 -7 6
15 Seraing 7 2 0 5 -7 6
16 Cercle Brugge 5 1 2 2 -4 5
17 Standard 3 1 0 2 -3 3
18 Seraing United 6 1 0 5 -8 3
19 Westerlo 3 0 0 3 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Mechelen Seraing United
Julien Ngoy 🟨
13′
22′
Y. Thoelen 1–0
own goal
25′
🟨 Marius Mouandilmadji
2–0 T. Peyre
D. Wouters
27′
3–0 S. Walsh
G. Hairemans
44′
Half-time 3–0
Dries Wouters 🟨
50′
60′
🔁 Sérgio Conceição
↦ D. Opare
60′
🔁 S. Elisor
↦ A. Ba
60′
🔁 L. Abanda
↦ M. Poaty
N. Storm 🔁
↦ J. Ngoy
71′
71′
M. Mouandilmadji 3–1
75′
🟨 Abdoulaye Sylla
81′
M. Mouandilmadji 3–2
M. Cachbach
S. Oum Gouet 🔁
↦ J. Vanlerberghe
86′
J. Hernández 🔁
↦ D. Wouters
86′
T. Raemaekers 🔁
↦ T. Peyre
90′
90′
🔁 M. Sambu
↦ A. Bernier
Full-time 3–2

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

B Staessens · 32 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,28 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.