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Conference League
Referee: D Stefanski
Fiorentina
T S T S S
2–1
Full-time
Twente
S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Fiorentina Twente
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 75%
50%
100%
Points per game
1,5
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
3,2
3,2
Scored
1,3
2,7
Conceded
1,8
0,5
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+2,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

52% Possession 48%
13 Shots 5
5 Shots on target 1
1 Blocked shots 2
0 Goalkeeper saves 3
3 Corners 1
2 Offside 1
11 Free kicks against 22
3 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Fiorentina Twente
1–0 N. González ⚽
2′
2–0 Arthur Cabral ⚽
31′
33′
🟨 Gijs Smal
Nikola Milenković 🟨
39′
Half-time 2–0
46′
🔁 V. Černý
↦ D. Rots
46′
🔁 M. Hilgers
↦ Julio Pleguezuelo
55′
🟨 Robin Pröpper
J. Ikoné 🔁
↦ R. Sottil
61′
R. Mandragora 🔁
↦ A. Duncan
61′
62′
🟨 Michel Vlap
64′
⚽ V. Černý 2–1
L. Jović 🔁
↦ Arthur Cabral
69′
70′
🟨 Václav Černý
77′
🔁 C. Tzolis
↦ V. Misidjan
Dodô 🔁
↦ L. Venuti
86′
C. Kouamé 🔁
↦ N. González
86′
89′
🔁 S. Steijn
↦ R. Zerrouki
Sofyan Amrabat 🟨
91′
Youssef Maleh 🟨
95′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Fiorentina

4-3-3
1 P. Terracciano G
23 L. Venuti D
4 N. Milenković D
55 M. Nastasić D
3 C. Biraghi D
32 A. Duncan M
34 S. Amrabat M
14 Y. Maleh M
22 N. González F
9 Arthur Cabral F
33 R. Sottil F
Bench (12)
11 J. Ikoné
38 R. Mandragora
7 L. Jović
2 Dodô
99 C. Kouamé
16 L. Ranieri
15 A. Terzić
8 R. Saponara
95 P. Gollini
28 L. Martínez
42 A. Bianco
24 M. Benassi

Coach: V. Italiano

Twente

4-2-3-1
1 L. Unnerstall G
20 J. Brenet D
3 R. Pröpper D
4 Julio Pleguezuelo D
5 G. Smal D
8 R. Zerrouki M
23 M. Sadílek M
11 D. Rots M
18 M. Vlap M
10 V. Misidjan M
9 R. van Wolfswinkel F
Bench (12)
7 V. Černý
2 M. Hilgers
19 C. Tzolis
14 S. Steijn
21 M. Kjølø
38 M. Bruns
16 I. El Maach
27 M. Ugalde
22 P. Tytoń
26 D. Cleonise
24 L. Everink
17 A. Salah-Eddine

Coach: R. Jans

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

D Stefanski · 84 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,0 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.