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Serie A

Referee: A Colombo

Juventus

U T S U U

2–0

Full-time

Spezia

T S S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Juventus Spezia

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

1,0

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

50%

83%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,3

3,7

Scored

1,2

1,8

Conceded

1,2

1,8

Goal diff per game

+0,0

This season — Serie A · 3/3 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,7

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

1,7

2,7

Scored

1,3

1,0

Conceded

0,3

1,7

Goal diff per game

+1,0

-0,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

51% Possession 49%

15 Shots 9

3 Shots on target 0

5 Blocked shots 7

0 Goalkeeper saves 1

7 Corners 3

1 Offside 2

1 Free kicks against 4

0 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Juventus 9. · Spezia 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Roma	4	3	1	0	+5	10
2	Inter	4	3	0	1	+4	9
3	Milan	4	2	2	0	+4	8
4	Lazio	4	2	2	0	+3	8
5	Napoli	3	2	1	0	+7	7
6	Atalanta	3	2	1	0	+3	7
7	Torino	3	2	1	0	+2	7
8	Udinese	4	2	1	1	+0	7
9	Juventus	3	1	2	0	+3	5
10	Fiorentina	4	1	2	1	+0	5
11	Sassuolo	4	1	2	1	-2	5
12	Salernitana	3	1	1	1	+3	4
13	Spezia	3	1	1	1	-2	4
14	Empoli	4	0	3	1	-1	3
15	Verona	4	0	2	2	-4	2
16	Sampdoria	4	0	2	2	-6	2
17	Lecce	3	0	1	2	-2	1
18	Bologna	3	0	1	2	-3	1
19	Cremonese	4	0	0	4	-5	0
20	Monza	4	0	0	4	-9	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Inter	2	2	0	0	+5	6
2	Milan	2	2	0	0	+4	6
3	Roma	2	2	0	0	+4	6
4	Lazio	2	2	0	0	+3	6
5	Juventus	2	1	1	0	+3	4
6	Fiorentina	2	1	1	0	+1	4
7	Spezia	2	1	1	0	+1	4
8	Udinese	2	1	1	0	+1	4
9	Sassuolo	2	1	1	0	+1	4
10	Napoli	1	1	0	0	+4	3
11	Salernitana	2	1	0	1	+3	3
12	Empoli	2	0	2	0	+0	2
13	Sampdoria	3	0	2	1	-2	2
14	Atalanta	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Bologna	1	0	1	0	+0	1
16	Torino	1	0	1	0	+0	1
17	Lecce	2	0	1	1	-1	1
18	Cremonese	1	0	0	1	-1	0
19	Monza	2	0	0	2	-2	0
20	Verona	2	0	0	2	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Atalanta	2	2	0	0	+3	6
2	Torino	2	2	0	0	+2	6
3	Napoli	2	1	1	0	+3	4
4	Roma	2	1	1	0	+1	4
5	Udinese	2	1	0	1	-1	3
6	Inter	2	1	0	1	-1	3
7	Verona	2	0	2	0	+0	2
8	Lazio	2	0	2	0	+0	2
9	Milan	2	0	2	0	+0	2
10	Salernitana	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Juventus	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Empoli	2	0	1	1	-1	1
13	Fiorentina	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Sassuolo	2	0	1	1	-3	1
15	Lecce	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Bologna	2	0	0	2	-3	0
17	Spezia	1	0	0	1	-3	0
18	Cremonese	3	0	0	3	-4	0
19	Sampdoria	1	0	0	1	-4	0
20	Monza	2	0	0	2	-7	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.