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LaLiga2
Referee: Oliver De La Fuente
Alaves
T T S S U
1–1
Full-time
Las Palmas
S S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Alaves Las Palmas
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
50%
83%
Points per game
1,7
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
67%
17%
Average goals
2,3
2,0
Scored
1,2
1,8
Conceded
1,2
0,2
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+1,7
This season — LaLiga2 · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 67%
67%
67%
Points per game
2,3
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 34%
67%
0%
Average goals
2,0
2,0
Scored
1,3
2,0
Conceded
0,7
0,0
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+2,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

23% Possession 77%
7 Shots 6
3 Shots on target 1
1 Blocked shots 2
0 Goalkeeper saves 2
1 Corners 3
4 Offside 2
26 Free kicks against 15
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Alaves 3. · Las Palmas 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Granada 3 3 0 0 +7 9
2 Las Palmas 3 2 1 0 +6 7
3 Alaves 3 2 1 0 +2 7
4 Albacete 3 2 1 0 +2 7
5 Eibar 4 2 1 1 +1 7
6 Cartagena 3 2 0 1 +1 6
7 Ponferradina 3 2 0 1 +1 6
8 Oviedo 3 2 0 1 +1 6
9 Sp Gijon 3 1 2 0 +3 5
10 Levante 3 1 2 0 +2 5
11 Burgos 3 1 2 0 +1 5
12 Lugo 3 1 1 1 +0 4
13 Villarreal B 3 1 1 1 -1 4
14 Leganes 4 1 0 3 -2 3
15 Malaga 3 1 0 2 -3 3
16 Andorra 3 1 0 2 -4 3
17 Zaragoza 3 0 2 1 -1 2
18 Huesca 3 0 1 2 -2 1
19 Tenerife 3 0 1 2 -3 1
20 Mirandes 3 0 1 2 -3 1
21 Ibiza 3 0 1 2 -3 1
22 Santander 3 0 0 3 -5 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Alaves Las Palmas
1–0 A. Rebbach
24′
44′
🟨 Omenuke Mfulu
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 Pejiño
↦ Marvin
49′
🟨 Alex Suárez
54′
Cardona 1–1
Sergi Cardona
55′
🔁 Álvaro Lemos
↦ Álex Suárez
Jon Guridi 🔁
↦ Xeber Alkain
62′
Toni Moya 🔁
↦ Salva Sevilla
74′
Róber 🔁
↦ A. Rebbach
75′
79′
🔁 Fabio González
↦ Óscar Clemente
C. Benavídez 🔁
↦ Álex Balboa
83′
A. Mahmoud 🔁
↦ Miguel de la Fuente
83′
88′
🔁 Saúl Coco
↦ Alberto Moleiro
89′
🔁 Benito Ramírez
↦ Cardona
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Alaves

4-2-3-1
1 Sivera G
2 A. Arroyo D
19 N. Maraš D
4 A. Sedlar D
3 Rubén Duarte D
28 Álex Balboa M
8 Salva Sevilla M
10 Jason M
17 Xeber Alkain M
21 A. Rebbach M
9 Miguel de la Fuente F
Bench (12)
18 Jon Guridi
6 Toni Moya
20 Róber
23 C. Benavídez
29 A. Mahmoud
24 T. Hara
22 A. Abqar
32 Imanol Baz
27 Javi López
14 N. Tenaglia
36 Marc Tenas
31 Jesús Owono

Coach: Luis García

Las Palmas

4-2-3-1
13 Álvaro Vallés G
4 Álex Suárez D
18 Sidnei D
6 Eric Curbelo D
3 Sergi Cardona D
12 E. Loiodice M
22 O. Mfulu M
2 Marvin M
10 Alberto Moleiro M
17 Óscar Clemente M
19 Cardona F
Bench (11)
24 Pejiño
14 Álvaro Lemos
8 Fabio González
23 Saúl Coco
11 Benito Ramírez
5 Enrique Clemente
26 Ale Palanca
1 Álex Domínguez
27 Ale García
20 Joel del Pino
28 Julen Perez

Coach: García Pimienta

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,21
U ✓
3,16
B
3,36
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,13
U2,5 ✓
1,70
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Oliver De La Fuente · 68 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,30 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.