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Super League
Referee: A Dudic
Zurich
S U S S T
1–2
Full-time
Lugano
T T T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Zurich Lugano
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,0
3,5
Scored
1,5
1,7
Conceded
1,5
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,2
This season — Super League · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
0,3
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 58%
33%
83%
Average goals
2,8
3,8
Scored
0,5
2,0
Conceded
2,3
1,8
Goal diff per game
-1,8
+0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

46% Possession 54%
20 Shots 11
4 Shots on target 5
4 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
3 Corners 4
1 Offside 0
11 Free kicks against 11
4 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Zurich 10. · Lugano 7. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Young Boys 6 4 2 0 +14 14
2 St. Gallen 6 4 0 2 +6 12
3 Servette 6 3 2 1 +1 11
4 Sion 7 3 2 2 +0 11
5 Grasshoppers 6 2 3 1 +0 9
6 Luzern 5 2 2 1 +0 8
7 Lugano 6 2 0 4 +1 6
8 Basel 6 1 3 2 -1 6
9 Winterthur 6 0 2 4 -10 2
10 Zurich 6 0 2 4 -11 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

19. May -22 Lugano – Zurich 2–1 13. Feb -22 Zurich – Lugano 3–0 16. Oct -21 Zurich – Lugano 1–0 25. Jul -21 Lugano – Zurich 0–2 2. May -21 Zurich – Lugano 3–0

Match report

Zurich Lugano
5′
⚽ R. Steffen 0–1
Ž. Celar
Karol Mets 🟨
9′
19′
🟨 Žan Celar
1–1 A. Tosin ⚽
24′
Donis Avdijaj 🟨
26′
Half-time 1–1
F. Aliti 🔁
↦ K. Mets
46′
Fabian Rohner 🟨
60′
64′
🔁 H. Mahou
↦ R. Steffen
64′
🔁 B. Babic
↦ Ž. Celar
J. Okita 🔁
↦ F. Rohner
65′
B. Krasniqi 🔁
↦ D. Avdijaj
66′
C. Condé 🔁
↦ B. Džemaili
66′
74′
🔁 U. Bislimi
↦ M. Bottani
74′
🔁 M. Amoura
↦ M. Haile-Selassie
I. Santini 🔁
↦ Adrián Guerrero
86′
Ole Selnaes 🟨
90′
90′
⚽ M. Amoura 1–2
M. Valenzuela
93′
🔁 A. Hajdari
↦ M. Valenzuela
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Zurich

3-4-1-2
25 Y. Brecher G
4 B. Omeragić D
31 M. Kryeziu D
28 K. Mets D
19 N. Boranijašević M
21 B. Džemaili M
8 O. Selnæs M
3 Adrián Guerrero M
18 D. Avdijaj F
15 A. Tosin F
23 F. Rohner F
Bench (9)
6 F. Aliti
11 J. Okita
7 B. Krasniqi
17 C. Condé
9 I. Santini
1 Ž. Kostadinović
16 M. Hornschuh
34 G. De Nitti
2 L. Kamberi

Coach: F. Foda

Lugano

4-2-3-1
1 A. Saipi G
34 A. Arigoni D
15 L. Mai D
30 F. Daprelà D
17 M. Valenzuela D
20 O. Doumbia M
14 J. Sabbatini M
22 R. Steffen M
10 M. Bottani M
11 M. Haile-Selassie M
9 Ž. Celar F
Bench (8)
18 H. Mahou
27 B. Babic
25 U. Bislimi
47 M. Amoura
5 A. Hajdari
29 H. Mahmoud
58 S. Osigwe
77 R. Macek

Coach: M. Croci-Torti

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
–
🔒
U
–
🔒
B ✓
–
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

A Dudic · 95 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,34 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.