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Ekstraklasa
Referee: D Kos
Stal Mielec
S S T T U
2–0
Full-time
Slask Wroclaw
U S U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Stal Mielec Slask Wroclaw
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,3
2,7
Scored
1,5
1,3
Conceded
1,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,0
This season — Ekstraklasa · 7/7 matches
Win Ø 36%
43%
29%
Points per game
1,4
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 43%
43%
43%
Both score Ø 50%
43%
57%
Average goals
2,9
2,1
Scored
1,4
0,9
Conceded
1,4
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

43% Possession 57%
4 Shots 12
2 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
2 Corners 6
3 Offside 3
15 Free kicks against 7
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Stal Mielec 9. · Slask Wroclaw 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Legia 8 5 2 1 +4 17
2 Wisla Plock 7 5 1 1 +12 16
3 Rakow 6 4 1 1 +5 13
4 Pogon Szczecin 7 4 1 2 +4 13
5 Radomiak Radom 8 3 2 3 -1 11
6 Cracovia 7 3 1 3 +2 10
7 Widzew Lodz 7 3 1 3 +1 10
8 Korona Kielce 7 3 1 3 +1 10
9 Stal Mielec 7 3 1 3 +0 10
10 Warta Poznan 7 3 0 4 -3 9
11 Slask Wroclaw 7 2 3 2 -3 9
12 Gornik Zabrze 6 2 2 2 +0 8
13 Jagiellonia 7 2 2 3 -1 8
14 Zaglebie 7 2 2 3 -4 8
15 Lech Poznan 6 2 1 3 -1 7
16 Piast Gliwice 6 2 0 4 -1 6
17 Legnica 6 1 1 4 -5 4
18 Lechia Gdansk 6 1 0 5 -10 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Stal Mielec Slask Wroclaw
1–0 S. Hamulic
F. Gerbowski
24′
Fabian Hiszpański 🟨
36′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 J. Yeboah
↦ A. Łyszczarz
P. Żyra 🔁
↦ F. Hiszpański
60′
M. Mak 🔁
↦ B. Vaštšuk
66′
1–1 J. Hyjek
own goal
69′
78′
🔁 A. Bukowski
↦ J. Hyjek
78′
🔁 S. Bergier
↦ Víctor García
Mateusz Matras 🟨
81′
M. Lebedyński 🔁
↦ A. Kasperkiewicz
81′
K. Kruk 🔁
↦ S. Hamulic
81′
89′
🟨 Patryk Janasik
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Stal Mielec

5-4-1
41 B. Mrozek G
17 F. Hiszpański D
26 A. Kasperkiewicz D
21 M. Matras D
4 M. Flis D
23 K. Getinger D
32 F. Gerbowski M
7 M. Domański M
18 P. Wlazło M
59 B. Vaštšuk M
99 S. Hamulic F
Bench (8)
16 P. Żyra
10 M. Mak
11 M. Lebedyński
74 K. Kruk
1 M. Kochalski
6 Leândro
77 A. Ratajczyk
15 D. Poręba

Coach: A. Majewski

Slask Wroclaw

4-2-3-1
1 M. Szromnik G
19 P. Janasik D
34 K. Poprawa D
2 Diogo Verdasca D
23 Víctor García D
17 P. Schwarz M
16 J. Hyjek M
27 M. Konczkowski M
33 A. Łyszczarz M
15 Nahuel Leiva M
9 Erik Expósito F
Bench (8)
7 J. Yeboah
20 A. Bukowski
32 S. Bergier
4 Ł. Bejger
6 D. Grétarsson
10 Caye Quintana
12 R. Leszczyński
24 P. Samiec-Talar

Coach: I. Đurđević

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

D Kos · 65 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,31 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.