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Serie A
Referee: Marco Di Bello
Verona
T T U U U
2–1
Full-time
Atalanta
T T U U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Verona Atalanta
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,7
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
17%
33%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
1,7
2,2
Scored
0,5
0,7
Conceded
1,2
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-0,8
This season — Serie A · 22/22 matches
Win Ø 16%
0%
32%
Points per game
0,5
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 32%
23%
41%
Both score Ø 46%
55%
36%
Average goals
2,1
2,1
Scored
0,6
1,0
Conceded
1,5
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,9
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

48% Possession 52%
13 Shots 18
5 Shots on target 4
0 Blocked shots 5
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
6 Corners 5
2 Offside 7
0 Free kicks against 0
2 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Verona 20. · Atalanta 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Napoli 22 15 5 2 +31 50
2 Juventus 22 15 3 4 +27 48
3 Fiorentina 22 13 3 6 +18 42
4 Roma 23 11 8 4 +17 41
5 Inter 22 12 5 5 +9 41
6 Milan 22 10 6 6 +7 36
7 Sassuolo 23 8 9 6 +0 33
8 Lazio 22 9 5 8 -1 32
9 Empoli 22 9 5 8 -3 32
10 Bologna 23 9 2 12 -3 29
11 Torino 22 7 6 9 -1 27
12 Chievo 22 7 6 9 -3 27
13 Atalanta 22 7 6 9 -3 27
14 Palermo 22 7 4 11 -11 25
15 Udinese 22 7 4 11 -16 25
16 Genoa 22 6 6 10 -3 24
17 Sampdoria 22 6 5 11 -6 23
18 Carpi 22 4 7 11 -16 19
19 Frosinone 23 5 4 14 -24 19
20 Verona 22 0 11 11 -19 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

20. Sep -15 Atalanta – Verona 1–1

Match report

Verona Atalanta
Michelangelo Albertazzi 🟨
15′
20′
🟨 Boukary Dramé
30′
A. Conti 0–1
1–1 L. Siligardi
P. Wszołek
42′
43′
🟨 Marten de Roon
Artur Ioniță 🟨
45′
Half-time 1–1
U. Emanuelson 🔁
↦ L. Siligardi
46′
55′
🟨 Boukary Dramé
55′
🟥 Boukary Dramé
Gilberto Junior 🔁
↦ M. Albertazzi
68′
68′
🔁 C. Raimondi
↦ A. Conti
77′
🔁 D. Brivio
↦ A. Gómez
J. Gómez Taleb 🔁
↦ A. Ioniţă
78′
82′
🔁 M. Pinilla
↦ M. Borriello
83′
🟨 Giulio Migliaccio
2–1 G. Pazzini
P. Wszołek
83′
90′
🟨 Mauricio Pinilla
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Verona

95 P. Gollini G
3 E. Pisano D
6 M. Albertazzi D
18 V. Moras D
5 F. Helander D
23 A. Ioniţă M
8 L. Marrone M
13 P. Wszołek M
9 L. Toni F
11 G. Pazzini F
16 L. Siligardi F
Bench (11)
28 U. Emanuelson
12 Gilberto Junior
21 J. Gómez Taleb
22 M. Bianchetti
4 Samir
19 L. Greco
37 F. Coppola
2 Rômulo
7 B. Janković
88 R. Marcone
14 D. Furman

Atalanta

57 M. Sportiello G
93 B. Dramé D
5 A. Masiello D
33 N. Cherubin D
3 Rafael Tolói D
24 A. Conti M
8 G. Migliaccio M
10 A. Gómez F
23 A. Diamanti F
15 M. de Roon M
22 M. Borriello F
Bench (12)
77 C. Raimondi
28 D. Brivio
51 M. Pinilla
1 B. Radunović
27 J. Kurtič
45 G. Monachello
55 B. Djimsiti
4 R. Gagliardini
13 S. Gakpé
11 R. Freuler
30 D. Bassi
7 M. D'Alessandro

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Marco Di Bello · 77 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
20,8 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,32 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.