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Serie A

Referee: J Sacchi

Verona

S S T U U

3–1

Full-time

Benevento

S T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Verona Benevento

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,3

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

33%

83%

Both score Ø 50%

17%

83%

Average goals

1,7

4,8

Scored

0,8

2,2

Conceded

0,8

2,7

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-0,5

This season — Serie A · 5/5 matches

Win Ø 40%

40%

Points per game

1,6

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

20%

80%

Both score Ø 50%

20%

80%

Average goals

1,4

4,6

Scored

1,0

1,8

Conceded

0,4

2,8

Goal diff per game

+0,6

-1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

43% Possession 57%

10 Shots 10

7 Shots on target 5

4 Blocked shots 5

4 Goalkeeper saves 3

4 Corners 5

18 Free kicks against 14

5 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Verona 10. · Benevento 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Milan	6	5	1	0	+9	16
2	Sassuolo	6	4	2	0	+9	14
3	Napoli	5	4	0	1	+10	12
4	Atalanta	6	4	0	2	+4	12
5	Inter	6	3	2	1	+5	11
6	Roma	6	3	2	1	+3	11
7	Sampdoria	6	3	1	2	+2	10
8	Lazio	6	3	1	2	-2	10
9	Juventus	5	2	3	0	+6	9
10	Verona	5	2	2	1	+3	8
11	Fiorentina	6	2	1	3	-2	7
12	Cagliari	6	2	1	3	-3	7
13	Bologna	6	2	0	4	-1	6
14	Benevento	5	2	0	3	-5	6
15	Parma	6	1	2	3	-5	5
16	Genoa	5	1	2	2	-5	5
17	Spezia	6	1	2	3	-7	5
18	Udinese	6	1	0	5	-5	3
19	Torino	5	0	1	4	-5	1
20	Crotone	6	0	1	5	-11	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Roma	3	2	1	0	+5	7
2	Milan	3	2	1	0	+5	7
3	Verona	3	2	1	0	+4	7
4	Napoli	3	2	0	1	+7	6
5	Bologna	3	2	0	1	+3	6
6	Fiorentina	3	2	0	1	+1	6
7	Sassuolo	3	1	2	0	+3	5
8	Juventus	2	1	1	0	+3	4
9	Sampdoria	3	1	1	1	+2	4
10	Inter	3	1	1	1	+0	4
11	Parma	3	1	1	1	-1	4
12	Lazio	3	1	1	1	-2	4
13	Atalanta	2	1	0	1	+1	3
14	Genoa	2	1	0	1	+1	3
15	Cagliari	2	1	0	1	+0	3
16	Udinese	4	1	0	3	-3	3
17	Benevento	3	1	0	2	-3	3
18	Crotone	3	0	1	2	-3	1
19	Spezia	3	0	1	2	-6	1
20	Torino	3	0	0	3	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sassuolo	3	3	0	0	+6	9
2	Milan	3	3	0	0	+4	9
3	Atalanta	4	3	0	1	+3	9
4	Inter	3	2	1	0	+5	7
5	Napoli	2	2	0	0	+3	6
6	Lazio	3	2	0	1	+0	6
7	Sampdoria	3	2	0	1	+0	6
8	Juventus	3	1	2	0	+3	5
9	Spezia	3	1	1	1	-1	4
10	Roma	3	1	1	1	-2	4
11	Cagliari	4	1	1	2	-3	4
12	Benevento	2	1	0	1	-2	3
13	Genoa	3	0	2	1	-6	2
14	Torino	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Verona	2	0	1	1	-1	1
16	Fiorentina	3	0	1	2	-3	1
17	Parma	3	0	1	2	-4	1
18	Udinese	2	0	0	2	-2	0
19	Bologna	3	0	0	3	-4	0
20	Crotone	3	0	0	3	-8	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.